Football · Panama LPF · 31/10, 22:00

Prediction: Union Cocle vs CD Universitario

Team pages: Union Cocle · CD Universitario

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.13Total

Union Cocle0.95

CD Universitario1.18

1X2

29% 30% 41%

Union Cocle Draw CD Universitario

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Union Cocle 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

DLDLLLLLLL

CD Universitario 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DWDDLDWLLL

Head-to-head

Union Cocle 0–2–1 CD Universitario (3 last)

CD Universitario1-1Union Cocle
CD Universitario2-0Union Cocle
Union Cocle0-0CD Universitario

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union Cocle 1391 · CD Universitario 1484

	Union Cocle	Draw	CD Universitario
Our model	28%	32%	40%
Market	30%	28%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Universitario (rating 1391 vs 1484).
Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Union Cocle	CD Universitario
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.4	0.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	0.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 2.8	3.3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.1	6.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.20

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 3.00▲	Pinn 3.14 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.27
2	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.17

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:52 +29’	2.90	3.20	2.15
07:53 +25’	3.00▲	3.20	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:52 +28’	3.16	3.22	2.19
17:22 +1’	3.14▼	3.27▲	2.17▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Cocle 0–2–1 CD Universitario

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Panama LPF	CD Universitario	1-1 HT 0-0	Union Cocle
13/04/26 Panama LPF	CD Universitario	2-0 HT 1-0	Union Cocle
08/02/26 Panama LPF	Union Cocle	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Universitario

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Francisco FC	13	8	2	3	26	15	26
2	Veraguas CD	13	5	6	2	21	18	21
3	CA Independiente de la Chorrera	13	4	5	4	19	18	17
4	CD Universitario	13	2	5	6	10	14	11
5	Herrera FC	13	3	2	8	13	29	11
6	Union Cocle	13	1	2	10	10	27	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Union Cocle	CD Universitario
Herrera FC	2-3 L	1-0 W
Sporting San Miguelito	1-3 L	1-1 D
Plaza Amador	1-2 L	1-2 L
UMECIT	0-1 L	2-1 W
CD Arabe Unido	1-4 L	0-0 D
Tauro FC	0-2 L	0-1 L
Alianza FC Panama	2-2 D	0-0 D
CA Independiente de la Chorrera	0-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 7 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CD Universitario (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union Cocle

DLDLLLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	0-3	0-3	2	4	L
18/10	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-1	2-3	5	2	L
06/10	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	1-3	1-3	2	6	L
27/09	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-1	1-2	0	4	L
22/09	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
12/09	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-1	1-4	2	4	L
06/09	Tauro FC Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	4	12	L
30/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	1-0	2-2	5	6	D
23/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-1	0-3	1	5	L
16/08	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

CD Universitario

DWDDLDWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-0	0-1	10	7	L
17/10	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	2	6	L
04/10	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	1-0	1-2	4	5	L
27/09	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
20/09	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
13/09	Tauro FC Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	10	8	L
06/09	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-1	1-1	10	5	D
30/08	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
23/08	Herrera FC Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
16/08	Union Cocle Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union Cocle vs CD Universitario?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Universitario win (41%). Probabilities: Union Cocle 29%, draw 30%, CD Universitario 41%.

How many goals are expected in Union Cocle vs CD Universitario?

The model expects 2.13 goals (Union Cocle 0.95 · CD Universitario 1.18), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Union Cocle vs CD Universitario?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.