Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 28/10, 14:00

Prediction: NK Krsko vs ND Dravinja

Team pages: NK Krsko · ND Dravinja

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

NK Krsko1.56

ND Dravinja1.52

1X2

38% 26% 36%

NK Krsko Draw ND Dravinja

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Krsko 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLDLLLWDLL

ND Dravinja 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDLWLLDW

Head-to-head

NK Krsko 2–1–2 ND Dravinja (5 last)

ND Dravinja2-1NK Krsko
NK Krsko2-0ND Dravinja
ND Dravinja4-2NK Krsko
ND Dravinja1-1NK Krsko
NK Krsko3-2ND Dravinja

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Krsko 1477 · ND Dravinja 1460

	NK Krsko	Draw	ND Dravinja
Our model	38%	26%	36%
Market	38%	26%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Krsko	ND Dravinja
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.8	1.2 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	0.5 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.3	1.3 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	5.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.40

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:11 +5’	2.38	3.40	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Krsko 2–1–2 ND Dravinja

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Dravinja	2-1 HT 1-0	NK Krsko
08/11/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Krsko	2-0 HT 1-0	ND Dravinja
11/04/15 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Dravinja	4-2 HT 1-1	NK Krsko
21/03/15 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Dravinja	1-1 HT 1-1	NK Krsko
27/09/14 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Krsko	3-2 HT 0-1	ND Dravinja

Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tabor Sezana	11	9	1	1	22	7	28
2	ND Beltinci	11	8	1	2	30	13	25
3	NK Triglav Kranj	11	8	1	2	21	5	25
4	NK Rudar Velenje	11	6	0	5	21	17	18
5	NK Bilje	11	6	0	5	20	22	18
6	NK Jesenice	11	5	2	4	19	16	17
7	NK Bistrica	11	5	2	4	14	15	17
8	ND Slovan Ljubljana	11	5	2	4	14	18	17
9	ND Ilirija Ljubljana	11	5	1	5	17	12	16
10	Jadran Dekani	11	4	3	4	7	7	15
11	NK Vrhnika	11	4	2	5	11	15	14
12	NK Primorje Ajdovscina	11	2	4	5	11	17	10
13	NK Krsko	11	2	3	6	9	19	9
14	ND Dravinja	11	2	2	7	12	26	8
15	NK Krka	11	2	1	8	10	20	7
16	NK Brezice	11	1	3	7	12	21	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Krsko	ND Dravinja
NK Brezice	1-2 L	1-1 D
NK Triglav Kranj	0-2 L	1-4 L
NK Vrhnika	0-0 D	0-2 L
NK Bilje	3-1 W	1-3 L
Tabor Sezana	0-6 L	1-5 L
NK Jesenice	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Krsko

DLDLLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	1-2	5	7	L
11/10	NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-2	7	1	L
03/10	NK Vrhnika Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
27/09	NK Bilje Slovenia 2. SNL	2-1	3-1	3	2	W
19/09	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	0-2	3	4	L
12/09	NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
05/09	ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	2-3	2	2	L
29/08	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
23/08	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-5	0-6	1	4	L
14/08	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	1-1	3	5	D

ND Dravinja

LLLDLWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	2-1	2	6	W
11/10	NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-1	2	8	D
03/10	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	1-3	1-4	1	3	L
28/09	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	1-3	6	6	L
20/09	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	3-1	3	5	W
11/09	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	1-2	1-5	1	6	L
05/09	NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
29/08	NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	1-4	1	6	L
22/08	NK Vrhnika Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
16/08	NK Bilje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	1-3	8	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Krsko vs ND Dravinja?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Krsko win (38%). Probabilities: NK Krsko 38%, draw 26%, ND Dravinja 36%.

How many goals are expected in NK Krsko vs ND Dravinja?

The model expects 3.08 goals (NK Krsko 1.56 · ND Dravinja 1.52), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Krsko vs ND Dravinja?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.