Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 07/11, 17:00

Prediction: Tabor Sezana vs NK Primorje Ajdovscina

Team pages: Tabor Sezana · NK Primorje Ajdovscina

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

Tabor Sezana1.83

NK Primorje Ajdovscina0.64

1X2

66% 22% 12%

Tabor Sezana Draw NK Primorje Ajdovscina

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Tabor Sezana 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWWWWL

NK Primorje Ajdovscina 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLDDDLWW

Head-to-head

Tabor Sezana 0–1–4 NK Primorje Ajdovscina (5 last)

Tabor Sezana1-4NK Primorje Ajdovscina
Tabor Sezana0-0NK Primorje Ajdovscina
NK Primorje Ajdovscina2-1Tabor Sezana
NK Primorje Ajdovscina1-0Tabor Sezana
NK Primorje Ajdovscina4-3Tabor Sezana

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tabor Sezana 1575 · NK Primorje Ajdovscina 1491

	Tabor Sezana	Draw	NK Primorje Ajdovscina
Our model	65%	24%	11%
Market	66%	21%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tabor Sezana (rating 1575 vs 1491).
H2H favours NK Primorje Ajdovscina: 4-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tabor Sezana	NK Primorje Ajdovscina
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.7	3.1 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.2	6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.20

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 23:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.33▼	Pinn 1.49 ★
X	3.80 → 4.20▲	Bet365 4.20
2	4.75 → 7.00▲	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 13.1% Pinnacle margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:10 +9’	1.53	3.80	4.75
01:15 +12’	1.53	3.75▼	5.00▲
23:08 +13’	1.33▼	4.20▲	7.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:12 +69’	1.54	3.80	4.85
07:58 +26’	1.49▼	3.90▲	5.15▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tabor Sezana 0–1–4 NK Primorje Ajdovscina

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/10/25 Slovenia Cup	Tabor Sezana	1-4 HT 1-3	NK Primorje Ajdovscina
19/05/24 Slovenia 2. SNL	Tabor Sezana	0-0 HT 0-0	NK Primorje Ajdovscina
28/10/23 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Primorje Ajdovscina	2-1 HT 0-0	Tabor Sezana
06/07/22 Europe Friendlies	NK Primorje Ajdovscina	1-0 HT 0-0	Tabor Sezana
08/08/20 Europe Friendlies	NK Primorje Ajdovscina	4-3 HT 1-1	Tabor Sezana

Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tabor Sezana	13	10	1	2	26	10	31
2	NK Triglav Kranj	14	10	1	3	31	13	31
3	ND Beltinci	13	9	1	3	39	17	28
4	NK Bistrica	14	7	2	5	19	17	23
5	ND Ilirija Ljubljana	14	7	1	6	25	17	22
6	NK Bilje	13	7	0	6	23	27	21
7	NK Rudar Velenje	13	6	1	6	23	20	19
8	Jadran Dekani	14	5	4	5	8	8	19
9	NK Jesenice	13	5	3	5	22	21	18
10	ND Slovan Ljubljana	13	5	2	6	14	21	17
11	NK Primorje Ajdovscina	13	4	4	5	13	17	16
12	NK Vrhnika	13	4	2	7	12	22	14
13	ND Dravinja	13	4	2	7	19	26	14
14	NK Krka	13	4	1	8	17	22	13
15	NK Krsko	13	2	3	8	9	27	9
16	NK Brezice	13	1	4	8	12	27	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tabor Sezana	NK Primorje Ajdovscina
NK Bilje	2-3 L	2-3 L
ND Slovan Ljubljana	2-0 W	1-0 W
ND Ilirija Ljubljana	1-0 W	0-0 D
NK Rudar Velenje	1-0 W	1-0 W
NK Krka	2-1 W	3-2 W
NK Bistrica	1-0 W	0-1 L
ND Dravinja	5-1 W	1-1 D
NK Brezice	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tabor Sezana (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tabor Sezana

WDWLWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	NK Bilje Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	2-3	7	3	L
27/10	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
16/10	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
09/10	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	3	9	W
03/10	NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	2-1	8	4	W
26/09	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
19/09	ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	1-5	3	5	L
11/09	ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL	2-1	5-1	4	6	W
04/09	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
28/08	NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	4	4	W

NK Primorje Ajdovscina

WDLLDDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
27/10	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
17/10	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
11/10	ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
03/10	NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-1	9	9	D
26/09	NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
19/09	NK Vrhnika Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	1-2	7	9	L
11/09	NK Bilje Slovenia 2. SNL	1-3	2-3	4	8	L
04/09	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
28/08	NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL	1-2	3-2	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tabor Sezana vs NK Primorje Ajdovscina?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tabor Sezana win (66%). Probabilities: Tabor Sezana 66%, draw 22%, NK Primorje Ajdovscina 12%.

How many goals are expected in Tabor Sezana vs NK Primorje Ajdovscina?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Tabor Sezana 1.83 · NK Primorje Ajdovscina 0.64), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tabor Sezana vs NK Primorje Ajdovscina?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.