Football · England Southern Premier League South · 03/11, 20:45

Prediction: Bracknell Town vs Chertsey Town

Team pages: Bracknell Town · Chertsey Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.37Total

Bracknell Town1.46

Chertsey Town1.9

1X2

29% 24% 47%

Bracknell Town Draw Chertsey Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Bracknell Town 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLWLLL

Chertsey Town 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDLDDWDW

Head-to-head

Bracknell Town 0–2–2 Chertsey Town (4 last)

Bracknell Town2-4Chertsey Town
Chertsey Town1-1Bracknell Town
Chertsey Town3-1Bracknell Town
Bracknell Town1-1Chertsey Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bracknell Town 1424 · Chertsey Town 1539

	Bracknell Town	Draw	Chertsey Town
Our model	29%	24%	47%
Market	29%	24%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chertsey Town (rating 1424 vs 1539).
H2H favours Chertsey Town: 2-2-0.
High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bracknell Town	Chertsey Town
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.1	2.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	25/25/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 7	2.8 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0	6 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.80

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:49 +5’	3.10	3.80	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bracknell Town 0–2–2 Chertsey Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 England Southern Premier League South	Bracknell Town	2-4	Chertsey Town
18/10/25 England Southern Premier League South	Chertsey Town	1-1 HT 1-1	Bracknell Town
29/03/25 England Southern Premier League South	Chertsey Town	3-1	Bracknell Town
24/09/24 England Southern Premier League South	Bracknell Town	1-1	Chertsey Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uxbridge	13	10	2	1	27	8	32
2	Hanworth Villa	15	9	3	3	31	18	30
3	Bath City	14	9	2	3	20	10	29
4	Poole Town	14	9	1	4	24	16	28
5	Plymouth Parkway	14	8	2	4	29	18	26
6	Chichester City	15	8	1	6	27	25	25
7	Gosport Borough	15	7	3	5	25	20	24
8	Chertsey Town	14	6	5	3	31	23	23
9	Wimborne Town	13	6	4	3	22	9	22
10	Taunton Town	13	6	1	6	32	26	19
11	Frome Town	14	5	4	5	22	19	19
12	Berkhamsted	14	5	3	6	18	20	18
13	Sholing	13	4	4	5	18	20	16
14	Evesham United	14	5	1	8	18	28	16
15	Basingstoke	15	4	3	8	24	31	15
16	Hanwell Town	13	3	5	5	18	18	14
17	Yate Town	14	3	5	6	16	27	14
18	Bracknell Town	15	4	2	9	16	33	14
19	Havant and W	15	3	3	9	20	32	12
20	Gloucester	12	2	5	5	17	21	11
21	Malvern Town	14	3	2	9	21	38	11
22	Chippenham Town	13	2	3	8	11	27	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bracknell Town	Chertsey Town
Evesham United	2-3 L	2-0 W
Chichester City	1-0 W	2-2 D
Hanworth Villa	1-4 L	1-4 L
Poole Town	0-1 L	2-2 D
Basingstoke	1-2 L	4-3 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Chertsey Town (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bracknell Town

LLWDLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	2-3	–	–	L
27/10	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
20/10	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-4	–	–	L
17/10	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
13/10	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	0-1	1-4	5	8	L
10/10	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
30/09	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-1	9	1	D
19/09	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
31/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L

Chertsey Town

LLWDLDDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	4-3	–	–	W
27/10	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
20/10	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
13/10	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
10/10	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
29/09	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
22/09	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	0-1	2-2	7	3	D
12/09	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	5-0	–	–	W
31/08	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	1-4	–	–	L
29/08	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	0-1	1-2	9	13	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bracknell Town vs Chertsey Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Chertsey Town win (47%). Probabilities: Bracknell Town 29%, draw 24%, Chertsey Town 47%.

How many goals are expected in Bracknell Town vs Chertsey Town?

The model expects 3.37 goals (Bracknell Town 1.46 · Chertsey Town 1.9), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bracknell Town vs Chertsey Town?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.