Football · England Southern Premier League South · 10/11, 20:45

Prediction: Sholing vs Chippenham Town

Team pages: Sholing · Chippenham Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Sholing1.8

Chippenham Town1.35

1X2

47% 25% 28%

Sholing Draw Chippenham Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Sholing 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLWDLDDW

Chippenham Town 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDLLDLWW

Head-to-head

Sholing 0–2 Chippenham Town (2 last)

Chippenham Town3-0Sholing
Sholing0-1Chippenham Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sholing 1495 · Chippenham Town 1470

	Sholing	Draw	Chippenham Town
Our model	47%	25%	28%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Chippenham Town: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sholing	Chippenham Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.8	1.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.4	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	50/25/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.6	1.3 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.60

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:21 +1’	1.90	3.60	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sholing 0–0–2 Chippenham Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/09/22 England FA Cup Qualification	Chippenham Town	3-0	Sholing
13/09/14 England FA Cup Qualification	Sholing	0-1	Chippenham Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uxbridge	15	10	3	2	29	12	33
2	Poole Town	16	10	2	4	28	17	32
3	Hanworth Villa	16	9	4	3	32	19	31
4	Plymouth Parkway	15	9	2	4	32	19	29
5	Bath City	15	9	2	4	21	12	29
6	Chichester City	16	9	1	6	29	26	28
7	Chertsey Town	15	7	5	3	33	24	26
8	Gosport Borough	16	7	3	6	25	22	24
9	Wimborne Town	13	6	4	3	22	9	22
10	Frome Town	15	5	5	5	24	21	20
11	Taunton Town	13	6	1	6	32	26	19
12	Berkhamsted	14	5	3	6	18	20	18
13	Hanwell Town	15	4	5	6	20	22	17
14	Sholing	13	4	4	5	18	20	16
15	Basingstoke	16	4	4	8	25	32	16
16	Evesham United	16	5	1	10	21	34	16
17	Yate Town	15	3	6	6	17	28	15
18	Chippenham Town	15	4	3	8	17	29	15
19	Bracknell Town	17	4	3	10	19	37	15
20	Malvern Town	15	4	2	9	22	38	14
21	Gloucester	13	2	6	5	18	22	12
22	Havant and W	16	3	3	10	20	33	12

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sholing	Chippenham Town
Malvern Town	4-2 W	2-1 W
Frome Town	1-1 D	0-2 L
Gosport Borough	1-0 W	2-0 W
Chertsey Town	2-4 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sholing

LLWLWDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	3-1	4-2	5	4	W
27/10	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
20/10	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
13/10	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-3	3	4	L
10/10	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
12/09	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
31/08	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-4	–	–	L

Chippenham Town

WLLDLLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
03/11	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	4-1	4-2	5	3	W
31/10	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
20/10	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
17/10	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-4	–	–	L
13/10	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
10/10	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
29/09	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
12/09	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
31/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sholing vs Chippenham Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sholing win (47%). Probabilities: Sholing 47%, draw 25%, Chippenham Town 28%.

How many goals are expected in Sholing vs Chippenham Town?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Sholing 1.8 · Chippenham Town 1.35), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sholing vs Chippenham Town?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.