Football · England Southern Premier League South · 10/11, 20:45
Prediction: Chertsey Town vs Chichester City
Team pages: Chertsey Town · Chichester City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.76Total
Chertsey Town2.18
Chichester City1.58
1X2
Chertsey Town
Draw
Chichester City
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Chertsey Town
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Chichester City
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chertsey Town
0–1–0
Chichester City
(1 last)
- Chichester City2-2Chertsey Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chertsey Town 1558 · Chichester City 1549
| Chertsey Town | Draw | Chichester City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 22% | 27% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chertsey Town | Chichester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.8 | 1.8 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 29/29/43% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.7 | 2 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chertsey Town 0–1–0 Chichester City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/26 England Southern Premier League South | Chichester City | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Chertsey Town |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uxbridge | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | Poole Town | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 19 | 31 |
| 4 | Plymouth Parkway | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 19 | 29 |
| 5 | Bath City | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Chichester City | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 28 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 24 | 26 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 24 |
| 9 | Wimborne Town | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 9 | 22 |
| 10 | Frome Town | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 20 |
| 11 | Taunton Town | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 19 |
| 12 | Berkhamsted | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 18 |
| 13 | Hanwell Town | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 17 |
| 14 | Sholing | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 20 | 16 |
| 15 | Basingstoke | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 32 | 16 |
| 16 | Evesham United | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 34 | 16 |
| 17 | Yate Town | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 15 |
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 29 | 15 |
| 19 | Bracknell Town | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 37 | 15 |
| 20 | Malvern Town | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 38 | 14 |
| 21 | Gloucester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 12 |
| 22 | Havant and W | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | 12 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chertsey Town | Chichester City |
|---|---|---|
| Bracknell Town | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Hanworth Villa | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chertsey Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/10 | Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South |
– | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 27/10 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 20/10 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/10 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 10/10 | Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 29/09 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 22/09 | Chichester City England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/08 | Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
Chichester City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Bath City England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/10 | Frome Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/10 | Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 20/10 | Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/10 | Sholing England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/09 | Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 22/09 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chertsey Town vs Chichester City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chertsey Town win (50%). Probabilities: Chertsey Town 50%, draw 23%, Chichester City 27%.
How many goals are expected in Chertsey Town vs Chichester City?
The model expects 3.76 goals (Chertsey Town 2.18 · Chichester City 1.58), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Chertsey Town vs Chichester City?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.