Football · England Southern Premier League South · 10/11, 20:45

Prediction: Bath City vs Taunton Town

Team pages: Bath City · Taunton Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

Bath City1.94

Taunton Town1.28

1X2

52% 24% 24%

Bath City Draw Taunton Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Bath City 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Taunton Town 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Bath City 3–1–2 Taunton Town (6 last)

Taunton Town1-3Bath City
Taunton Town1-0Bath City
Taunton Town0-2Bath City
Bath City3-0Taunton Town
Bath City0-2Taunton Town
Taunton Town1-1Bath City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bath City 1563 · Taunton Town 1483

	Bath City	Draw	Taunton Town
Our model	52%	24%	24%
Market	52%	24%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bath City (rating 1563 vs 1483).
H2H favours Bath City: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bath City	Taunton Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.7	2.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	1 / 2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/67/0%	0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 2.5	3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.3	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.80

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:06 +16’	1.73	3.80	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bath City 3–1–2 Taunton Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/09/26 England Southern Premier League South	Taunton Town	1-3	Bath City
08/07/25 UK Friendlies	Taunton Town	1-0 HT 0-0	Bath City
01/04/24 England National League South	Taunton Town	0-2 HT 0-1	Bath City
24/10/23 England National League South	Bath City	3-0 HT 0-0	Taunton Town
07/04/23 England National League South	Bath City	0-2 HT 0-0	Taunton Town
27/09/22 England National League South	Taunton Town	1-1 HT 0-0	Bath City

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uxbridge	15	10	3	2	29	12	33
2	Poole Town	16	10	2	4	28	17	32
3	Hanworth Villa	16	9	4	3	32	19	31
4	Plymouth Parkway	15	9	2	4	32	19	29
5	Bath City	15	9	2	4	21	12	29
6	Chichester City	16	9	1	6	29	26	28
7	Chertsey Town	15	7	5	3	33	24	26
8	Gosport Borough	16	7	3	6	25	22	24
9	Wimborne Town	13	6	4	3	22	9	22
10	Frome Town	15	5	5	5	24	21	20
11	Taunton Town	13	6	1	6	32	26	19
12	Berkhamsted	14	5	3	6	18	20	18
13	Hanwell Town	15	4	5	6	20	22	17
14	Sholing	13	4	4	5	18	20	16
15	Basingstoke	16	4	4	8	25	32	16
16	Evesham United	16	5	1	10	21	34	16
17	Yate Town	15	3	6	6	17	28	15
18	Chippenham Town	15	4	3	8	17	29	15
19	Bracknell Town	17	4	3	10	19	37	15
20	Malvern Town	15	4	2	9	22	38	14
21	Gloucester	13	2	6	5	18	22	12
22	Havant and W	16	3	3	10	20	33	12

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bath City	Taunton Town
Havant and W	1-0 W	0-1 L
Hanwell Town	2-0 W	1-2 L
Evesham United	2-0 W	4-1 W
Gosport Borough	1-2 L	1-3 L
Frome Town	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bath City (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bath City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
31/10	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
20/10	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	0	0	W
17/10	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
13/10	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
10/10	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
29/09	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
22/09	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
12/09	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
31/08	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L

Taunton Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
20/10	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-0	–	–	W
17/10	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	4-1	–	–	W
10/10	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
30/09	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	1-2	2-2	5	4	D
22/09	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
12/09	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
31/08	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-1	–	–	W
29/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	4-3	–	–	W
22/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	–	4-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bath City vs Taunton Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bath City win (52%). Probabilities: Bath City 52%, draw 24%, Taunton Town 24%.

How many goals are expected in Bath City vs Taunton Town?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Bath City 1.94 · Taunton Town 1.28), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bath City vs Taunton Town?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.