Football · England Southern Premier League South · 10/11, 20:45

Prediction: Uxbridge vs Hanwell Town

Team pages: Uxbridge · Hanwell Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

Uxbridge1.82

Hanwell Town1.21

1X2

51% 24% 25%

Uxbridge Draw Hanwell Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Uxbridge 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWWWLD

Hanwell Town 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDDWDLWLLW

Head-to-head

Uxbridge 1–1–0 Hanwell Town (2 last)

Uxbridge2-0Hanwell Town
Hanwell Town1-1Uxbridge

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Uxbridge 1574 · Hanwell Town 1453

	Uxbridge	Draw	Hanwell Town
Our model	51%	25%	24%
Market	51%	24%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Uxbridge (rating 1574 vs 1453).
High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Uxbridge	Hanwell Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.6	1.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	43/43/14%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.3	4.2 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	4.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.75

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:21 +1’	1.75	3.75	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Uxbridge 1–1–0 Hanwell Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 England Southern Premier League South	Uxbridge	2-0 HT 1-0	Hanwell Town
27/12/25 England Southern Premier League South	Hanwell Town	1-1 HT 0-0	Uxbridge

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uxbridge	15	10	3	2	29	12	33
2	Poole Town	16	10	2	4	28	17	32
3	Hanworth Villa	16	9	4	3	32	19	31
4	Plymouth Parkway	15	9	2	4	32	19	29
5	Bath City	15	9	2	4	21	12	29
6	Chichester City	16	9	1	6	29	26	28
7	Chertsey Town	15	7	5	3	33	24	26
8	Gosport Borough	16	7	3	6	25	22	24
9	Wimborne Town	13	6	4	3	22	9	22
10	Frome Town	15	5	5	5	24	21	20
11	Taunton Town	13	6	1	6	32	26	19
12	Berkhamsted	14	5	3	6	18	20	18
13	Hanwell Town	15	4	5	6	20	22	17
14	Sholing	13	4	4	5	18	20	16
15	Basingstoke	16	4	4	8	25	32	16
16	Evesham United	16	5	1	10	21	34	16
17	Yate Town	15	3	6	6	17	28	15
18	Chippenham Town	15	4	3	8	17	29	15
19	Bracknell Town	17	4	3	10	19	37	15
20	Malvern Town	15	4	2	9	22	38	14
21	Gloucester	13	2	6	5	18	22	12
22	Havant and W	16	3	3	10	20	33	12

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Uxbridge	Hanwell Town
Poole Town	1-1 D	0-3 L
Evesham United	1-0 W	2-1 W
Berkhamsted	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Uxbridge (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Uxbridge

DWLWWWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
03/11	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	0-2	1-3	6	1	L
31/10	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
27/10	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
20/10	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
10/10	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
29/09	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-1	9	3	W
15/09	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-1	0	5	L
12/09	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	2-0	5-0	6	1	W
31/08	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-0	4	4	D

Hanwell Town

LDDWDLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/11	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-3	–	–	L
31/10	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	0-2	2-3	8	6	L
27/10	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	3-0	6-1	6	5	W
17/10	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	0-2	0-2	6	3	L
13/10	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-1	10	6	D
10/10	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/09	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	1-0	1-1	9	6	D
12/09	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
31/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Uxbridge vs Hanwell Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Uxbridge win (51%). Probabilities: Uxbridge 51%, draw 24%, Hanwell Town 25%.

How many goals are expected in Uxbridge vs Hanwell Town?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Uxbridge 1.82 · Hanwell Town 1.21), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Uxbridge vs Hanwell Town?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.