Football · England Southern Premier League South · 03/11, 20:45
Prediction: Poole Town vs Hanwell Town
Team pages: Poole Town · Hanwell Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Poole Town1.72
Hanwell Town1.17
1X2
Poole Town
Draw
Hanwell Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Poole Town
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Hanwell Town
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Poole Town
2–2–2
Hanwell Town
(6 last)
- Hanwell Town1-1Poole Town
- Poole Town1-0Hanwell Town
- Hanwell Town3-3Poole Town
- Poole Town1-2Hanwell Town
- Poole Town0-3Hanwell Town
- Hanwell Town0-3Poole Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Poole Town 1561 · Hanwell Town 1459
| Poole Town | Draw | Hanwell Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 26% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Poole Town (rating 1561 vs 1459).
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Poole Town | Hanwell Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/100/0% | 33/17/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 4.5 | 3.8 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 4.7 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Poole Town 2–2–2 Hanwell Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 England Southern Premier League South | Hanwell Town | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Poole Town |
| 09/08/25 England Southern Premier League South | Poole Town | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Hanwell Town |
| 01/03/25 England Southern Premier League South | Hanwell Town | 3-3 | Poole Town |
| 23/11/24 England Southern Premier League South | Poole Town | 1-2 | Hanwell Town |
| 03/02/24 England Southern Premier League South | Poole Town | 0-3 | Hanwell Town |
| 23/09/23 England Southern Premier League South | Hanwell Town | 0-3 | Poole Town |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uxbridge | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 8 | 32 |
| 2 | Hanworth Villa | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 30 |
| 3 | Bath City | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 29 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 28 |
| 5 | Plymouth Parkway | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | Chichester City | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 25 |
| 7 | Gosport Borough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 24 |
| 8 | Chertsey Town | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 23 | 23 |
| 9 | Wimborne Town | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 9 | 22 |
| 10 | Taunton Town | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 19 |
| 11 | Frome Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 19 |
| 12 | Berkhamsted | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 18 |
| 13 | Sholing | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 20 | 16 |
| 14 | Evesham United | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 16 |
| 15 | Basingstoke | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 31 | 15 |
| 16 | Hanwell Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 14 |
| 17 | Yate Town | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 14 |
| 18 | Bracknell Town | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 33 | 14 |
| 19 | Havant and W | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 32 | 12 |
| 20 | Gloucester | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 11 |
| 21 | Malvern Town | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 11 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Poole Town | Hanwell Town |
|---|---|---|
| Bath City | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Chertsey Town | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Gosport Borough | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Havant and W | 1-0 W | 6-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Poole Town (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Poole Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Bath City England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/10 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 17/10 | Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/10 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/10 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/09 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Hanwell Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 27/10 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
3-0 | 6-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 17/10 | Bath City England Southern Premier League South |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 13/10 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 10/10 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/09 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Frome Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 31/08 | Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Chichester City England Southern Premier League South |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Poole Town vs Hanwell Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Poole Town win (50%). Probabilities: Poole Town 50%, draw 25%, Hanwell Town 25%.
How many goals are expected in Poole Town vs Hanwell Town?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Poole Town 1.72 · Hanwell Town 1.17), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Poole Town vs Hanwell Town?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.