Football · Colombia Primera A · 10/11, 01:00
Prediction: Junior vs Cucuta Deportivo
Team pages: Junior · Cucuta Deportivo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Junior1.97
Cucuta Deportivo0.91
1X2
Junior
Draw
Cucuta Deportivo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Junior
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Cucuta Deportivo
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Junior
4–1–1
Cucuta Deportivo
(6 last)
- Cucuta Deportivo1-1Junior
- Junior2-1Cucuta Deportivo
- Cucuta Deportivo4-3Junior
- Cucuta Deportivo1-4Junior
- Junior1-0Cucuta Deportivo
- Cucuta Deportivo1-3Junior
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Junior 1495 · Cucuta Deportivo 1504
| Junior | Draw | Cucuta Deportivo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 23% | 16% |
| Market | 61% | 23% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Junior: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Junior | Cucuta Deportivo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 2.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 5 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Junior 4–1–1 Cucuta Deportivo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Colombia Primera A | Cucuta Deportivo | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Junior |
| 17/08/23 Colombia Cup | Junior | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Cucuta Deportivo |
| 27/07/23 Colombia Cup | Cucuta Deportivo | 4-3 HT 1-0 | Junior |
| 01/11/20 Colombia Primera A | Cucuta Deportivo | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Junior |
| 24/11/19 Colombia Primera A | Junior | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cucuta Deportivo |
| 15/11/19 Colombia Primera A | Cucuta Deportivo | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Junior |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 36 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 31 | 12 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 10 | 33 |
| 4 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 29 |
| 6 | Independiente Santa Fe | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 28 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 27 |
| 8 | Aguilas Doradas | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 25 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | Cucuta Deportivo | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 24 | 24 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 23 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 25 | 20 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 23 | 20 |
| 14 | Boyaca Chico | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 19 |
| 15 | Alianza | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 18 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 17 |
| 17 | Junior | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 27 | 16 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 24 | 15 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza CEIF | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 28 | 12 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Junior | Cucuta Deportivo |
|---|---|---|
| Llaneros | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Boyaca Chico | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Aguilas Doradas | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Deportivo Cali | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Deportivo Pereira | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Atletico Nacional Medellin | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cucuta Deportivo (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Junior
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 28/10 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 24/10 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 19/10 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 14/10 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 05/10 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
1-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 01/10 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 27/09 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
Cucuta Deportivo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 28/10 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 25/10 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/10 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/10 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 27/09 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 20/09 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 14/09 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 13 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Junior vs Cucuta Deportivo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Junior win (61%). Probabilities: Junior 61%, draw 23%, Cucuta Deportivo 16%.
How many goals are expected in Junior vs Cucuta Deportivo?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Junior 1.97 · Cucuta Deportivo 0.91), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Junior vs Cucuta Deportivo?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.