Football · Colombia Primera A · 12/11, 22:00
Prediction: Aguilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin
Team pages: Aguilas Doradas · Independiente Medellin
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
Aguilas Doradas1.6
Independiente Medellin1.01
1X2
Aguilas Doradas
Draw
Independiente Medellin
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Aguilas Doradas
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Independiente Medellin
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aguilas Doradas
2–3–1
Independiente Medellin
(6 last)
- Independiente Medellin1-2Aguilas Doradas
- Aguilas Doradas2-1Independiente Medellin
- Independiente Medellin0-0Aguilas Doradas
- Aguilas Doradas1-1Independiente Medellin
- Independiente Medellin1-0Aguilas Doradas
- Aguilas Doradas1-1Independiente Medellin
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Aguilas Doradas: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aguilas Doradas | Independiente Medellin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 3.6 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.4 / 0.2 | 5.2 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aguilas Doradas 2–3–1 Independiente Medellin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Colombia Primera A | Independiente Medellin | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Aguilas Doradas |
| 08/10/25 Colombia Primera A | Aguilas Doradas | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Independiente Medellin |
| 30/03/25 Colombia Primera A | Independiente Medellin | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Aguilas Doradas |
| 15/09/24 Colombia Primera A | Aguilas Doradas | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Independiente Medellin |
| 04/03/24 Colombia Primera A | Independiente Medellin | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Aguilas Doradas |
| 26/08/23 Colombia Primera A | Aguilas Doradas | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Independiente Medellin |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 39 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 12 | 36 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 10 | 34 |
| 4 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 29 |
| 6 | Independiente Santa Fe | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 28 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 27 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 27 |
| 9 | Aguilas Doradas | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 25 |
| 10 | Cucuta Deportivo | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 24 | 24 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 23 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 25 | 20 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 23 | 20 |
| 14 | Boyaca Chico | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 19 |
| 15 | Alianza | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 18 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 17 |
| 17 | Junior | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 27 | 16 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 24 | 15 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza CEIF | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 28 | 12 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aguilas Doradas | Independiente Medellin |
|---|---|---|
| Once Caldas | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Fortaleza CEIF | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Junior | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Alianza | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Jaguares de Cordoba | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| America de Cali | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aguilas Doradas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 02/11 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 28/10 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/10 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 18/10 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 14/10 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 10/10 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 11 | D |
| 03/10 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 28/09 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/09 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
Independiente Medellin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/11 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 29/10 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-3 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 26/10 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 12/10 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 06/10 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 30/09 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/09 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aguilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aguilas Doradas win (50%). Probabilities: Aguilas Doradas 50%, draw 27%, Independiente Medellin 23%.
How many goals are expected in Aguilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Aguilas Doradas 1.6 · Independiente Medellin 1.01), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Aguilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.