Football · Colombia Primera A · 12/11, 22:00
Prediction: Millonarios vs Alianza
Team pages: Millonarios · Alianza
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Millonarios1.76
Alianza1.15
1X2
Millonarios
Draw
Alianza
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Millonarios
3-7-0 (W-D-L)
Alianza
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Millonarios
1–2–2
Alianza
(5 last)
- Alianza2-2Millonarios
- Alianza3-0Millonarios
- Millonarios2-0Alianza
- Alianza2-1Millonarios
- Millonarios1-1Alianza
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Alianza: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Millonarios | Alianza | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.7 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.2 | 5.8 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Millonarios 1–2–2 Alianza
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Colombia Primera A | Alianza | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Millonarios |
| 13/09/25 Colombia Primera A | Alianza | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Millonarios |
| 30/03/25 Colombia Primera A | Millonarios | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Alianza |
| 29/07/24 Colombia Primera A | Alianza | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Millonarios |
| 01/02/24 Colombia Primera A | Millonarios | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Alianza |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 39 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 12 | 36 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 10 | 34 |
| 4 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 29 |
| 6 | Independiente Santa Fe | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 28 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 27 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 27 |
| 9 | Aguilas Doradas | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 25 |
| 10 | Cucuta Deportivo | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 24 | 24 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 23 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 25 | 20 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 23 | 20 |
| 14 | Boyaca Chico | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 19 |
| 15 | Alianza | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 18 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 17 |
| 17 | Junior | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 27 | 16 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 24 | 15 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza CEIF | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 28 | 12 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Millonarios | Alianza |
|---|---|---|
| Once Caldas | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Jaguares de Cordoba | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Independiente Medellin | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Boyaca Chico | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Deportivo Cali | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Millonarios (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Millonarios
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 21/10 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 18/10 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 11 | W |
| 09/10 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 30/09 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 25/09 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 11/09 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 07/09 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
Alianza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 29/10 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/10 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 20/10 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 11 | D |
| 03/10 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 27/09 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/09 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Millonarios vs Alianza?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Millonarios win (50%). Probabilities: Millonarios 50%, draw 26%, Alianza 24%.
How many goals are expected in Millonarios vs Alianza?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Millonarios 1.76 · Alianza 1.15), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Millonarios vs Alianza?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.