Football · Colombia Primera A · 12/11, 22:00
Prediction: Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali
Team pages: Deportivo Pereira · America de Cali
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Deportivo Pereira0.74
America de Cali1.77
1X2
Deportivo Pereira
Draw
America de Cali
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Pereira
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
America de Cali
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Pereira
2–4
America de Cali
(6 last)
- America de Cali4-1Deportivo Pereira
- America de Cali1-0Deportivo Pereira
- Deportivo Pereira2-1America de Cali
- America de Cali2-0Deportivo Pereira
- America de Cali1-0Deportivo Pereira
- Deportivo Pereira2-0America de Cali
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Pereira 1450 · America de Cali 1556
| Deportivo Pereira | Draw | America de Cali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 25% | 61% |
| Market | 15% | 23% | 62% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours America de Cali (rating 1450 vs 1556).
- H2H favours America de Cali: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Pereira | America de Cali | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.5 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.4 / 0.6 | 4.6 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Pereira 2–0–4 America de Cali
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/26 Colombia Cup | America de Cali | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Deportivo Pereira |
| 04/05/26 Colombia Primera A | America de Cali | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Pereira |
| 15/08/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 2-1 HT 1-0 | America de Cali |
| 02/03/25 Colombia Primera A | America de Cali | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Pereira |
| 16/09/24 Colombia Primera A | America de Cali | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Pereira |
| 03/03/24 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 2-0 HT 1-0 | America de Cali |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 39 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 12 | 36 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 10 | 34 |
| 4 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 29 |
| 6 | Independiente Santa Fe | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 28 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 27 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 27 |
| 9 | Aguilas Doradas | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 25 |
| 10 | Cucuta Deportivo | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 24 | 24 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 23 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 25 | 20 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 23 | 20 |
| 14 | Boyaca Chico | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 19 |
| 15 | Alianza | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 18 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 17 |
| 17 | Junior | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 27 | 16 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 24 | 15 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza CEIF | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 28 | 12 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Pereira | America de Cali |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Tolima | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Cali | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Cucuta Deportivo | 0-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: America de Cali (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Pereira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 03/11 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
1-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 30/10 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 25/10 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 20/10 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 14/10 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/10 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 10 | L |
| 29/09 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 11 | L |
| 26/09 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | D |
America de Cali
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 05/11 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/10 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 25/10 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/10 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 12/10 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 05/10 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 24/09 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 21/09 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 15/09 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali?
According to our model, the most likely result is an America de Cali win (61%). Probabilities: Deportivo Pereira 15%, draw 24%, America de Cali 61%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Deportivo Pereira 0.74 · America de Cali 1.77), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.