Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 28/10, 22:00

Prediction: HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Managua FC

Team pages: HYH Export Sebaco FC · Managua FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

HYH Export Sebaco FC1.44

Managua FC2.13

1X2

25% 23% 52%

HYH Export Sebaco FC Draw Managua FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

HYH Export Sebaco FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Managua FC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWDWWWWL

Head-to-head

HYH Export Sebaco FC 1–5 Managua FC (6 last)

Managua FC6-1HYH Export Sebaco FC
HYH Export Sebaco FC0-2Managua FC
Managua FC1-0HYH Export Sebaco FC
Managua FC4-2HYH Export Sebaco FC
HYH Export Sebaco FC1-0Managua FC
Managua FC1-0HYH Export Sebaco FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Managua FC (rating 1434 vs 1592).
H2H favours Managua FC: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HYH Export Sebaco FC	Managua FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.3	3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4	2.7 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.8	5.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:15

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.32 → 4.32	Pinn 4.32
X	3.69 → 3.69	Pinn 3.69
2	1.66 → 1.66	Pinn 1.66

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:56 +19’	4.32	3.69	1.66

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · HYH Export Sebaco FC 1–0–5 Managua FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/26 Nicaragua Apertura	Managua FC	6-1 HT 5-0	HYH Export Sebaco FC
01/03/26 Nicaragua Clausura	HYH Export Sebaco FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Managua FC
26/01/26 Nicaragua Clausura	Managua FC	1-0 HT 0-0	HYH Export Sebaco FC
29/09/25 Nicaragua Apertura	Managua FC	4-2 HT 1-1	HYH Export Sebaco FC
22/07/25 Nicaragua Apertura	HYH Export Sebaco FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Managua FC
09/03/25 Nicaragua Clausura	Managua FC	1-0 HT 1-0	HYH Export Sebaco FC

Standings · Nicaragua Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Managua FC	14	11	2	1	42	15	35
2	Diriangen	14	10	3	1	29	14	33
3	Real Esteli	14	7	4	3	25	13	25
4	UNAN Managua	14	7	3	4	17	15	24
5	CD Walter Ferretti	14	6	2	6	30	23	20
6	HYH Export Sebaco FC	13	5	2	6	15	24	17
7	Jalapa	14	3	3	8	13	19	12
8	San Marcos FC	14	3	3	8	14	22	12
9	Matagalpa FC	13	3	1	9	7	29	10
10	Rancho Santana FC	14	1	3	10	10	28	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HYH Export Sebaco FC	Managua FC
Diriangen	1-3 L	3-3 D
Jalapa	1-4 L	1-0 W
Rancho Santana FC	2-0 W	6-1 W
San Marcos FC	2-0 W	3-2 W
UNAN Managua	1-3 L	2-0 W
CD Walter Ferretti	1-1 D	3-2 W
Real Esteli	0-5 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Managua FC (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HYH Export Sebaco FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	1-3	7	6	L
18/10	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	1-4	–	–	L
15/10	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/10	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
10/09	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
06/09	UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-3	3	6	L
02/09	CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
30/08	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	0-2	0-5	3	5	L
23/08	Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-5	1-6	2	4	L
09/08	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-0	4	11	W

Managua FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-2	5	11	L
18/10	Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	4-1	9	4	W
15/10	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-2	3-2	5	4	W
11/10	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-0	0	0	W
03/10	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	6-1	5	6	W
11/09	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-1	5	7	D
07/09	CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura	1-2	3-2	5	7	W
04/09	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	2-2	3-3	8	9	D
31/08	UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	2-0	10	4	W
23/08	HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura	5-0	6-1	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Managua FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Managua FC win (52%). Probabilities: HYH Export Sebaco FC 25%, draw 23%, Managua FC 52%.

How many goals are expected in HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Managua FC?

The model expects 3.57 goals (HYH Export Sebaco FC 1.44 · Managua FC 2.13), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Managua FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.