Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 29/10, 00:00

Prediction: Matagalpa FC vs Jalapa

Team pages: Matagalpa FC · Jalapa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Matagalpa FC1.44

Jalapa1.28

1X2

40% 28% 32%

Matagalpa FC Draw Jalapa

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Matagalpa FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLLLLD

Jalapa 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDLDLDWW

Head-to-head

Matagalpa FC 4–1–1 Jalapa (6 last)

Jalapa0-1Matagalpa FC
Matagalpa FC3-1Jalapa
Jalapa1-1Matagalpa FC
Matagalpa FC1-3Jalapa
Matagalpa FC3-0Jalapa
Jalapa0-2Matagalpa FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Matagalpa FC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Matagalpa FC	Jalapa
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.3	2.8 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	2.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.81

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:32

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.55
X	3.14 → 3.14	Pinn 3.14
2	2.53 → 2.53	Pinn 2.53

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:17 +15’	2.55	3.14	2.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Matagalpa FC 4–1–1 Jalapa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/26 Nicaragua Apertura	Jalapa	0-1 HT 0-0	Matagalpa FC
05/07/26 Nicaragua Cup	Matagalpa FC	3-1 HT 2-0	Jalapa
12/04/26 Nicaragua Clausura	Jalapa	1-1 HT 0-1	Matagalpa FC
11/02/26 Nicaragua Clausura	Matagalpa FC	1-3 HT 1-1	Jalapa
26/10/25 Nicaragua Apertura	Matagalpa FC	3-0 HT 2-0	Jalapa
16/08/25 Nicaragua Apertura	Jalapa	0-2 HT 0-2	Matagalpa FC

Standings · Nicaragua Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Managua FC	14	11	2	1	42	15	35
2	Diriangen	14	10	3	1	29	14	33
3	Real Esteli	14	7	4	3	25	13	25
4	UNAN Managua	14	7	3	4	17	15	24
5	CD Walter Ferretti	14	6	2	6	30	23	20
6	HYH Export Sebaco FC	13	5	2	6	15	24	17
7	Jalapa	14	3	3	8	13	19	12
8	San Marcos FC	14	3	3	8	14	22	12
9	Matagalpa FC	13	3	1	9	7	29	10
10	Rancho Santana FC	14	1	3	10	10	28	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Matagalpa FC	Jalapa
San Marcos FC	0-0 D	1-3 L
Managua FC	1-4 L	0-1 L
CD Walter Ferretti	1-5 L	2-2 D
Real Esteli	1-4 L	1-1 D
Diriangen	0-3 L	0-2 L
UNAN Managua	1-0 W	2-0 W
Rancho Santana FC	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	1 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Jalapa (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Matagalpa FC

LWWLWLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
18/10	Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-4	3	4	L
15/10	CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-5	–	–	L
11/10	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	0-3	1-4	0	0	L
07/09	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
04/09	UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-0	1	4	W
30/08	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
23/08	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
16/08	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
10/08	Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-2	0-3	6	3	L

Jalapa

LLLDLDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
18/10	HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	4-1	–	–	W
16/10	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
11/10	Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-1	0	0	L
04/10	CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura	0-2	2-2	6	3	D
06/09	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	1-3	0	4	L
03/09	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	1-1	0	0	D
30/08	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	0-2	0-2	8	5	L
23/08	Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
17/08	UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-2	9	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Matagalpa FC vs Jalapa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Matagalpa FC win (40%). Probabilities: Matagalpa FC 40%, draw 28%, Jalapa 32%.

How many goals are expected in Matagalpa FC vs Jalapa?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Matagalpa FC 1.44 · Jalapa 1.28), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Matagalpa FC vs Jalapa?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.