Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 29/10, 23:00

Prediction: San Marcos FC vs Rancho Santana FC

Team pages: San Marcos FC · Rancho Santana FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
San Marcos FC1.72
Rancho Santana FC1.08
1X2
51% 25% 23%
San Marcos FC Draw Rancho Santana FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
San Marcos FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWWLWLLLLD
Rancho Santana FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LLWDDLDLLL
Head-to-head
San Marcos FC 1–1 Rancho Santana FC (2 last)
  • Rancho Santana FC1-2San Marcos FC
  • San Marcos FC1-2Rancho Santana FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Marcos FC 1459 · Rancho Santana FC 1432
San Marcos FCDrawRancho Santana FC
Our model51%26%23%
Market52%25%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

San Marcos FCRancho Santana FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.50.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.70 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%0/20/80%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 5.23 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.44 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · San Marcos FC 1–0–1 Rancho Santana FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/08/26
Nicaragua Apertura
Rancho Santana FC1-2
HT 0-1
San Marcos FC
17/03/21
Nicaragua Segunda Division
San Marcos FC1-2
HT 1-0
Rancho Santana FC

Standings · Nicaragua Apertura

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Managua FC 151221 451538
2 Diriangen 141031 291433
3 Real Esteli 14743 251325
4 UNAN Managua 14734 171524
5 CD Walter Ferretti 14626 302320
6 HYH Export Sebaco FC 14527 152717
7 Jalapa 15438 151915
8 San Marcos FC 14338 142212
9 Matagalpa FC 143110 73110
10 Rancho Santana FC 141310 10286

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSan Marcos FCRancho Santana FC
Matagalpa FC 0-0 D 1-0 W
UNAN Managua 2-3 L 1-1 D
Managua FC 2-3 L 1-6 L
HYH Export Sebaco FC 0-2 L 0-2 L
Diriangen 1-2 L 0-1 L
Jalapa 3-1 W 1-1 D
Real Esteli 0-2 L 1-1 D
CD Walter Ferretti 1-0 W 1-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 5 L 1 W 3 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Marcos FC

LWWLWLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Matagalpa FC
Nicaragua Apertura
0-0 0-0 95 D
18/10 UNAN Managua
Nicaragua Apertura
1-2 2-3 68 L
15/10 Managua FC
Nicaragua Apertura
2-1 2-3 64 L
12/10 HYH Export Sebaco FC
Nicaragua Apertura
0-0 0-2 25 L
07/10 Diriangen
Nicaragua Apertura
0-0 1-2 62 L
06/09 Jalapa
Nicaragua Apertura
1-1 3-1 64 W
03/09 Real Esteli
Nicaragua Apertura
0-2 0-2 46 L
31/08 CD Walter Ferretti
Nicaragua Apertura
0-0 1-0 64 W
24/08 Rancho Santana FC
Nicaragua Apertura
1-0 2-1 25 W
16/08 Matagalpa FC
Nicaragua Apertura
0-1 0-1 –– L

Rancho Santana FC

LLWDDLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 CD Walter Ferretti
Nicaragua Apertura
0-2 1-4 43 L
19/10 Diriangen
Nicaragua Apertura
0-1 0-1 14 L
15/10 HYH Export Sebaco FC
Nicaragua Apertura
0-1 0-2 –– L
12/10 UNAN Managua
Nicaragua Apertura
0-0 1-1 97 D
03/10 Managua FC
Nicaragua Apertura
0-1 1-6 56 L
06/09 Real Esteli
Nicaragua Apertura
0-1 1-1 25 D
03/09 Jalapa
Nicaragua Apertura
0-1 1-1 10 D
30/08 Matagalpa FC
Nicaragua Apertura
0-0 1-0 –– W
24/08 San Marcos FC
Nicaragua Apertura
0-1 1-2 145 L
16/08 CD Walter Ferretti
Nicaragua Apertura
0-2 1-3 95 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Marcos FC vs Rancho Santana FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a San Marcos FC win (51%). Probabilities: San Marcos FC 51%, draw 25%, Rancho Santana FC 23%.

How many goals are expected in San Marcos FC vs Rancho Santana FC?

The model expects 2.8 goals (San Marcos FC 1.72 · Rancho Santana FC 1.08), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in San Marcos FC vs Rancho Santana FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.