Football · England Southern Premier League South · 03/11, 20:45

Prediction: Chippenham Town vs Evesham United

Team pages: Chippenham Town · Evesham United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Chippenham Town1.52

Evesham United1.23

1X2

43% 26% 30%

Chippenham Town Draw Evesham United

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Chippenham Town 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Evesham United 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Chippenham Town 0–1 Evesham United (1 last)

Evesham United2-0Chippenham Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chippenham Town 1423 · Evesham United 1435

	Chippenham Town	Draw	Evesham United
Our model	43%	28%	30%
Market	44%	25%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chippenham Town	Evesham United
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.2	1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.3	2.8 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.60

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
12:49 +4’	2.05	3.60	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chippenham Town 0–0–1 Evesham United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/09/26 England Southern Premier League South	Evesham United	2-0 HT 1-0	Chippenham Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uxbridge	13	10	2	1	27	8	32
2	Hanworth Villa	15	9	3	3	31	18	30
3	Bath City	14	9	2	3	20	10	29
4	Poole Town	14	9	1	4	24	16	28
5	Plymouth Parkway	14	8	2	4	29	18	26
6	Chichester City	15	8	1	6	27	25	25
7	Gosport Borough	15	7	3	5	25	20	24
8	Chertsey Town	14	6	5	3	31	23	23
9	Wimborne Town	13	6	4	3	22	9	22
10	Taunton Town	13	6	1	6	32	26	19
11	Frome Town	14	5	4	5	22	19	19
12	Berkhamsted	14	5	3	6	18	20	18
13	Sholing	13	4	4	5	18	20	16
14	Evesham United	14	5	1	8	18	28	16
15	Basingstoke	15	4	3	8	24	31	15
16	Hanwell Town	13	3	5	5	18	18	14
17	Yate Town	14	3	5	6	16	27	14
18	Bracknell Town	15	4	2	9	16	33	14
19	Havant and W	15	3	3	9	20	32	12
20	Gloucester	12	2	5	5	17	21	11
21	Malvern Town	14	3	2	9	21	38	11
22	Chippenham Town	13	2	3	8	11	27	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chippenham Town	Evesham United
Poole Town	1-4 L	1-3 L
Chertsey Town	2-2 D	0-2 L
Bath City	0-2 L	0-2 L
Berkhamsted	1-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Evesham United (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chippenham Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
20/10	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
17/10	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-4	–	–	L
13/10	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
10/10	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
29/09	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
12/09	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
31/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	0-4	–	–	L

Evesham United

LWDWLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-2	–	–	W
20/10	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	0-1	0-2	13	4	L
17/10	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-4	–	–	L
13/10	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-2	6	4	L
10/10	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
03/10	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
29/09	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
12/09	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
31/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chippenham Town vs Evesham United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chippenham Town win (43%). Probabilities: Chippenham Town 43%, draw 26%, Evesham United 30%.

How many goals are expected in Chippenham Town vs Evesham United?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Chippenham Town 1.52 · Evesham United 1.23), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Chippenham Town vs Evesham United?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.