Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 03/11, 20:45

Prediction: Eastbourne Borough vs Stanway Rovers

Team pages: Eastbourne Borough · Stanway Rovers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

Eastbourne Borough2.47

Stanway Rovers0.99

1X2

69% 18% 13%

Eastbourne Borough Draw Stanway Rovers

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Eastbourne Borough 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Stanway Rovers 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eastbourne Borough 1583 · Stanway Rovers 1407

	Eastbourne Borough	Draw	Stanway Rovers
Our model	69%	19%	12%
Market	69%	18%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eastbourne Borough (rating 1583 vs 1407).
High corners: 21 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eastbourne Borough	Stanway Rovers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.6	1.2 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)	2 / 0	2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	100/0/0%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	9 / 15	4.5 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	2 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.00

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)2.00

2 (+1.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:46 +4’	1.28	5.00	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	14	11	1	2	43	16	34
2	Welling	15	11	0	4	31	15	33
3	Eastbourne Borough	13	9	1	3	25	12	28
4	Lewes	14	8	3	3	22	16	27
5	Dartford	14	8	0	6	22	21	24
6	St Albans	11	7	2	2	24	15	23
7	Ramsgate	14	7	1	6	29	19	22
8	Carshalton Ath	16	7	1	8	23	32	22
9	Chatham Town	14	7	0	7	27	23	21
10	Wingate & Finchley	13	6	3	4	26	25	21
11	Dulwich	15	6	3	6	25	26	21
12	Burgess Hill Town	14	5	5	4	24	26	20
13	Leatherhead	12	5	3	4	25	20	18
14	AFC Whyteleafe	15	5	3	7	26	27	18
15	Cheshunt	15	4	6	5	17	23	18
16	Aveley	14	5	2	7	24	24	17
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	17	5	2	10	23	39	17
18	Cray Wanderers	10	4	3	3	23	15	15
19	Brentwood Town	13	5	0	8	23	25	15
20	Three Bridges	14	2	3	9	24	39	9
21	Stanway Rovers	14	2	1	11	14	39	7
22	Whitehawk	15	1	3	11	14	37	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eastbourne Borough	Stanway Rovers
Ramsgate	2-0 W	0-2 L
Three Bridges	2-0 W	1-3 L
Cheshunt	3-0 W	3-0 W
Leatherhead	0-1 L	2-7 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Eastbourne Borough (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eastbourne Borough

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
27/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
20/10	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
10/10	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
05/10	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	4-0	15	3	W
15/09	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
31/08	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L

Stanway Rovers

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-7	–	–	L
24/10	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
20/10	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
17/10	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L
10/10	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
06/10	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-2	8	3	L
15/09	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	3-1	3-2	4	2	W
12/09	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-4	–	–	L
31/08	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
29/08	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eastbourne Borough vs Stanway Rovers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Eastbourne Borough win (69%). Probabilities: Eastbourne Borough 69%, draw 18%, Stanway Rovers 13%.

How many goals are expected in Eastbourne Borough vs Stanway Rovers?

The model expects 3.46 goals (Eastbourne Borough 2.47 · Stanway Rovers 0.99), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Eastbourne Borough vs Stanway Rovers?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.