Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Enfield Town vs AFC Whyteleafe

Team pages: Enfield Town · AFC Whyteleafe

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.05Total

Enfield Town2.63

AFC Whyteleafe1.43

1X2

62% 20% 18%

Enfield Town Draw AFC Whyteleafe

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Enfield Town 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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AFC Whyteleafe 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Enfield Town 1616 · AFC Whyteleafe 1494

	Enfield Town	Draw	AFC Whyteleafe
Our model	62%	19%	19%
Market	62%	21%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 4.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Enfield Town (rating 1616 vs 1494).
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Enfield Town	AFC Whyteleafe
Goals for / against (FT)	3.2 / 1.1	2.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.6	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	71/14/14%	43/43/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.9	2.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.33

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.93

2 (+1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
09:50 +23’	1.44	4.33	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	14	11	1	2	43	16	34
2	Welling	15	11	0	4	31	15	33
3	Eastbourne Borough	14	10	1	3	26	12	31
4	Lewes	15	8	3	4	23	18	27
5	Dartford	15	9	0	6	24	22	27
6	St Albans	12	7	2	3	24	16	23
7	Ramsgate	14	7	1	6	29	19	22
8	Wingate & Finchley	14	6	4	4	27	26	22
9	Carshalton Ath	16	7	1	8	23	32	22
10	Leatherhead	13	6	3	4	27	21	21
11	Chatham Town	14	7	0	7	27	23	21
12	Dulwich	15	6	3	6	25	26	21
13	Burgess Hill Town	15	5	6	4	25	27	21
14	Aveley	15	6	2	7	25	24	20
15	AFC Whyteleafe	15	5	3	7	26	27	18
16	Cheshunt	15	4	6	5	17	23	18
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	17	5	2	10	23	39	17
18	Cray Wanderers	10	4	3	3	23	15	15
19	Brentwood Town	14	5	0	9	24	27	15
20	Three Bridges	14	2	3	9	24	39	9
21	Stanway Rovers	15	2	1	12	14	40	7
22	Whitehawk	15	1	3	11	14	37	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Enfield Town	AFC Whyteleafe
Burgess Hill Town	6-0 W	2-3 L
Dulwich	3-0 W	4-2 W
Stanway Rovers	2-1 W	4-0 W
Dartford	0-2 L	2-1 W
Whitehawk	5-1 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: AFC Whyteleafe (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Enfield Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	6-0	–	–	W
27/10	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	4-0	6	5	W
17/10	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-3	–	–	D
12/10	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
10/10	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	3-0	5	0	W
06/10	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
15/09	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-2	6	1	L
12/09	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
31/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	2-1	4-1	5	1	W
29/08	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	3-1	5-1	1	3	W

AFC Whyteleafe

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	4-2	5	4	W
21/10	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	2-2	2-3	6	3	L
17/10	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
14/10	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	5-0	6	4	W
10/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/10	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
30/09	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
15/09	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
12/09	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-0	–	–	W
31/08	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Enfield Town vs AFC Whyteleafe?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Enfield Town win (62%). Probabilities: Enfield Town 62%, draw 20%, AFC Whyteleafe 18%.

How many goals are expected in Enfield Town vs AFC Whyteleafe?

The model expects 4.05 goals (Enfield Town 2.63 · AFC Whyteleafe 1.43), with a 57% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Enfield Town vs AFC Whyteleafe?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.