Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 10/11, 20:45

Prediction: Eastbourne Borough vs Dulwich

Team pages: Eastbourne Borough · Dulwich

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

Eastbourne Borough1.95

Dulwich1.16

1X2

55% 23% 22%

Eastbourne Borough Draw Dulwich

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Eastbourne Borough 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Dulwich 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Eastbourne Borough 3–2–1 Dulwich (6 last)

Dulwich1-2Eastbourne Borough
Dulwich1-3Eastbourne Borough
Eastbourne Borough2-1Dulwich
Dulwich1-1Eastbourne Borough
Eastbourne Borough2-2Dulwich
Dulwich2-1Eastbourne Borough

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eastbourne Borough 1561 · Dulwich 1470

	Eastbourne Borough	Draw	Dulwich
Our model	55%	24%	21%
Market	55%	23%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eastbourne Borough (rating 1561 vs 1470).
H2H favours Eastbourne Borough: 3-2-1.
High corners: 13.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eastbourne Borough	Dulwich
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.7	1.3 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 2	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/0/50%	17/17/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	6 / 10.5	1.6 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.90

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
11:18 +4’	1.61	3.90	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Eastbourne Borough 3–2–1 Dulwich

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/07/25 UK Friendlies	Dulwich	1-2 HT 1-2	Eastbourne Borough
28/01/23 England National League South	Dulwich	1-3 HT 1-0	Eastbourne Borough
27/08/22 England National League South	Eastbourne Borough	2-1 HT 0-0	Dulwich
25/01/22 England National League South	Dulwich	1-1 HT 0-0	Eastbourne Borough
04/09/21 England National League South	Eastbourne Borough	2-2 HT 1-1	Dulwich
08/12/20 England National League South	Dulwich	2-1 HT 2-0	Eastbourne Borough

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Welling	16	12	0	4	34	16	36
2	Enfield Town	15	11	1	3	43	18	34
3	Eastbourne Borough	15	10	1	4	27	16	31
4	Lewes	16	9	3	4	26	20	30
5	Dartford	16	10	0	6	28	23	30
6	Ramsgate	15	8	1	6	33	19	25
7	Carshalton Ath	17	8	1	8	27	34	25
8	St Albans	13	7	2	4	25	19	23
9	Chatham Town	15	7	1	7	28	24	22
10	Wingate & Finchley	15	6	4	5	28	29	22
11	Burgess Hill Town	16	5	7	4	26	28	22
12	Leatherhead	13	6	3	4	27	21	21
13	AFC Whyteleafe	16	6	3	7	28	27	21
14	Dulwich	16	6	3	7	27	29	21
15	Aveley	16	6	2	8	25	28	20
16	Maldon Tiptree FC	18	6	2	10	26	40	20
17	Cheshunt	16	4	6	6	19	27	18
18	Brentwood Town	15	5	1	9	25	28	16
19	Cray Wanderers	10	4	3	3	23	15	15
20	Three Bridges	15	2	4	9	25	40	10
21	Stanway Rovers	16	2	2	12	14	40	8
22	Whitehawk	16	1	4	11	14	37	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eastbourne Borough	Dulwich
Maldon Tiptree FC	2-1 W	1-1 D
Carshalton Ath	4-0 W	2-2 D
Chatham Town	2-1 W	0-4 L
Lewes	0-1 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Eastbourne Borough (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eastbourne Borough

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	0-4	1-4	6	3	L
03/11	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
31/10	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
27/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
20/10	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
10/10	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
05/10	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	4-0	15	3	W
15/09	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
31/08	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L

Dulwich

WWLLDLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
31/10	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	2-4	3	4	L
27/10	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
24/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/10	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-2	0-4	4	0	L
17/10	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
13/10	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
10/10	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-3	4	0	L
29/09	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
12/09	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eastbourne Borough vs Dulwich?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Eastbourne Borough win (55%). Probabilities: Eastbourne Borough 55%, draw 23%, Dulwich 22%.

How many goals are expected in Eastbourne Borough vs Dulwich?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Eastbourne Borough 1.95 · Dulwich 1.16), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Eastbourne Borough vs Dulwich?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.