Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 10/11, 20:45

Prediction: Cray Wanderers vs Three Bridges

Team pages: Cray Wanderers · Three Bridges

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.69Total

Cray Wanderers2.18

Three Bridges1.51

1X2

52% 22% 26%

Cray Wanderers Draw Three Bridges

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Cray Wanderers 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWWLDWLW

Three Bridges 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDWLDLLD

Head-to-head

Cray Wanderers 1–0 Three Bridges (1 last)

Cray Wanderers1-0Three Bridges

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cray Wanderers 1565 · Three Bridges 1462

	Cray Wanderers	Draw	Three Bridges
Our model	52%	22%	26%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cray Wanderers (rating 1565 vs 1462).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cray Wanderers	Three Bridges
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.5	1.7 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1	– / –
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/0/67%	//%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 6.3	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.3	– / –

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:19 +3’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cray Wanderers 1–0–0 Three Bridges

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/01/19 England Isthmian Division One South	Cray Wanderers	1-0 HT 0-0	Three Bridges

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Welling	16	12	0	4	34	16	36
2	Enfield Town	15	11	1	3	43	18	34
3	Eastbourne Borough	15	10	1	4	27	16	31
4	Lewes	16	9	3	4	26	20	30
5	Dartford	16	10	0	6	28	23	30
6	Ramsgate	15	8	1	6	33	19	25
7	Carshalton Ath	17	8	1	8	27	34	25
8	St Albans	13	7	2	4	25	19	23
9	Chatham Town	15	7	1	7	28	24	22
10	Wingate & Finchley	15	6	4	5	28	29	22
11	Burgess Hill Town	16	5	7	4	26	28	22
12	Leatherhead	13	6	3	4	27	21	21
13	AFC Whyteleafe	16	6	3	7	28	27	21
14	Dulwich	16	6	3	7	27	29	21
15	Aveley	16	6	2	8	25	28	20
16	Maldon Tiptree FC	18	6	2	10	26	40	20
17	Cheshunt	16	4	6	6	19	27	18
18	Brentwood Town	15	5	1	9	25	28	16
19	Cray Wanderers	10	4	3	3	23	15	15
20	Three Bridges	15	2	4	9	25	40	10
21	Stanway Rovers	16	2	2	12	14	40	8
22	Whitehawk	16	1	4	11	14	37	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cray Wanderers	Three Bridges
Brentwood Town	4-1 W	1-1 D
Lewes	1-2 L	1-2 L
Maldon Tiptree FC	5-1 W	1-3 L
St Albans	3-3 D	0-4 L
Enfield Town	2-3 L	3-3 D
Eastbourne Borough	2-1 W	0-2 L
Carshalton Ath	1-2 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Cray Wanderers (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cray Wanderers

DDLWWLDWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-1	–	–	W
10/10	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	1-2	1-2	8	4	L
29/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	3-0	5-1	4	4	W
15/09	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	3-3	7	3	D
12/09	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
31/08	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-1	–	–	W
22/08	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/08	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D

Three Bridges

WLLDWLDLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
31/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
20/10	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
17/10	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-3	–	–	D
13/10	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
10/10	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/09	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-3	–	–	D
15/09	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
12/09	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-4	–	–	L
31/08	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cray Wanderers vs Three Bridges?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cray Wanderers win (52%). Probabilities: Cray Wanderers 52%, draw 22%, Three Bridges 26%.

How many goals are expected in Cray Wanderers vs Three Bridges?

The model expects 3.69 goals (Cray Wanderers 2.18 · Three Bridges 1.51), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cray Wanderers vs Three Bridges?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.