Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 10/11, 20:45

Prediction: Enfield Town vs Lewes

Team pages: Enfield Town · Lewes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.73Total

Enfield Town2.4

Lewes1.33

1X2

60% 21% 19%

Enfield Town Draw Lewes

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Enfield Town 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWDWWL

Lewes 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWDDLW

Head-to-head

Enfield Town 2–4 Lewes (6 last)

Lewes0-4Enfield Town
Enfield Town1-0Lewes
Lewes4-0Enfield Town
Lewes1-0Enfield Town
Enfield Town2-4Lewes
Enfield Town1-4Lewes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Enfield Town 1585 · Lewes 1515

	Enfield Town	Draw	Lewes
Our model	60%	20%	19%
Market	60%	21%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Enfield Town (rating 1585 vs 1515).
H2H favours Lewes: 4-0-2.
High corners: 13 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Enfield Town	Lewes
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.2	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/17/17%	25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.5	2.5 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0.2	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.20

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:57 +1’	1.50	4.20	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Enfield Town 2–0–4 Lewes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Lewes	0-4	Enfield Town
09/03/24 England Ryman Premier Division	Enfield Town	1-0 HT 1-0	Lewes
21/10/23 England Isthmian Premier Division	Lewes	4-0	Enfield Town
11/03/23 England Isthmian Premier Division	Lewes	1-0	Enfield Town
15/10/22 England Isthmian Premier Division	Enfield Town	2-4	Lewes
08/01/22 England Isthmian Premier Division	Enfield Town	1-4	Lewes

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Welling	16	12	0	4	34	16	36
2	Enfield Town	15	11	1	3	43	18	34
3	Eastbourne Borough	15	10	1	4	27	16	31
4	Lewes	16	9	3	4	26	20	30
5	Dartford	16	10	0	6	28	23	30
6	Ramsgate	15	8	1	6	33	19	25
7	Carshalton Ath	17	8	1	8	27	34	25
8	St Albans	13	7	2	4	25	19	23
9	Chatham Town	15	7	1	7	28	24	22
10	Wingate & Finchley	15	6	4	5	28	29	22
11	Burgess Hill Town	16	5	7	4	26	28	22
12	Leatherhead	13	6	3	4	27	21	21
13	AFC Whyteleafe	16	6	3	7	28	27	21
14	Dulwich	16	6	3	7	27	29	21
15	Aveley	16	6	2	8	25	28	20
16	Maldon Tiptree FC	18	6	2	10	26	40	20
17	Cheshunt	16	4	6	6	19	27	18
18	Brentwood Town	15	5	1	9	25	28	16
19	Cray Wanderers	10	4	3	3	23	15	15
20	Three Bridges	15	2	4	9	25	40	10
21	Stanway Rovers	16	2	2	12	14	40	8
22	Whitehawk	16	1	4	11	14	37	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Enfield Town	Lewes
Chatham Town	4-0 W	2-3 L
Three Bridges	3-3 D	2-1 W
Carshalton Ath	2-1 W	3-0 W
Dulwich	3-0 W	3-2 W
Dartford	0-2 L	1-2 L
Cray Wanderers	3-2 W	2-1 W
Wingate & Finchley	4-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Enfield Town

WWLWWWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
31/10	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	6-0	–	–	W
27/10	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	4-0	6	5	W
17/10	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-3	–	–	D
12/10	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
10/10	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	3-0	5	0	W
06/10	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
15/09	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-2	6	1	L
12/09	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
31/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	2-1	4-1	5	1	W

Lewes

LWLWWWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
03/11	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	0-2	1-2	6	1	L
31/10	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
17/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-1	10	4	D
13/10	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
10/10	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	2-1	2-1	6	4	W
03/10	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
19/09	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
15/09	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
12/09	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Enfield Town vs Lewes?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Enfield Town win (60%). Probabilities: Enfield Town 60%, draw 21%, Lewes 19%.

How many goals are expected in Enfield Town vs Lewes?

The model expects 3.73 goals (Enfield Town 2.4 · Lewes 1.33), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Enfield Town vs Lewes?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.