Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 17/11, 20:45

Prediction: Burgess Hill Town vs Brentwood Town

Team pages: Burgess Hill Town · Brentwood Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.8Total

Burgess Hill Town1.9

Brentwood Town1.9

1X2

38% 23% 38%

Burgess Hill Town Draw Brentwood Town

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Burgess Hill Town 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWDWLWLLDD

Brentwood Town 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWLLDL

Head-to-head

Burgess Hill Town 1–2–2 Brentwood Town (5 last)

Brentwood Town2-0Burgess Hill Town
Burgess Hill Town3-2Brentwood Town
Brentwood Town2-1Burgess Hill Town
Burgess Hill Town1-1Brentwood Town
Brentwood Town1-1Burgess Hill Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Burgess Hill Town 1479 · Brentwood Town 1475

	Burgess Hill Town	Draw	Brentwood Town
Our model	39%	23%	39%
Market	38%	24%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.8 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Brentwood Town: 2-2-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Burgess Hill Town	Brentwood Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.1	1.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	1 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/50/25%	25/25/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.8	3.8 / 8.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.80

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:36 +4’	2.35	3.80	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Burgess Hill Town 1–2–2 Brentwood Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Brentwood Town	2-0	Burgess Hill Town
04/04/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Burgess Hill Town	3-2	Brentwood Town
23/08/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Brentwood Town	2-1	Burgess Hill Town
27/02/16 England Isthmian Premier Division	Burgess Hill Town	1-1	Brentwood Town
23/01/16 England Isthmian Premier Division	Brentwood Town	1-1	Burgess Hill Town

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Welling	18	13	1	4	40	18	40
2	Enfield Town	16	12	1	3	45	18	37
3	Eastbourne Borough	16	11	1	4	31	18	34
4	Lewes	18	9	4	5	26	22	31
5	Dartford	16	10	0	6	28	23	30
6	Ramsgate	16	9	1	6	36	19	28
7	Leatherhead	15	7	4	4	30	23	25
8	Carshalton Ath	17	8	1	8	27	34	25
9	St Albans	14	7	3	4	27	21	24
10	AFC Whyteleafe	17	7	3	7	30	27	24
11	Chatham Town	17	7	1	9	28	27	22
12	Wingate & Finchley	15	6	4	5	28	29	22
13	Burgess Hill Town	16	5	7	4	26	28	22
14	Dulwich	17	6	3	8	29	33	21
15	Aveley	16	6	2	8	25	28	20
16	Maldon Tiptree FC	18	6	2	10	26	40	20
17	Cray Wanderers	11	5	3	3	25	15	18
18	Cheshunt	16	4	6	6	19	27	18
19	Brentwood Town	16	5	1	10	25	31	16
20	Three Bridges	17	2	4	11	25	46	10
21	Stanway Rovers	17	2	3	12	14	40	9
22	Whitehawk	17	1	5	11	16	39	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Burgess Hill Town	Brentwood Town
Chatham Town	1-1 D	0-3 L
AFC Whyteleafe	3-2 W	2-1 W
Maldon Tiptree FC	4-1 W	5-1 W
Ramsgate	2-2 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Burgess Hill Town (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Burgess Hill Town

DWDWLWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
03/11	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
31/10	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-6	–	–	L
27/10	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
21/10	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	2-2	3-2	5	3	W
17/10	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	2-4	3	6	L
13/10	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
10/10	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
03/10	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-1	–	–	W
12/09	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D

Brentwood Town

LWWLWWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
07/11	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
03/11	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	1-2	8	3	L
31/10	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L
27/10	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-2	–	–	W
20/10	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
10/10	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
30/09	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
22/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	2-1	5-1	10	2	W
15/09	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	1-3	2-3	9	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Burgess Hill Town vs Brentwood Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Burgess Hill Town win (38%). Probabilities: Burgess Hill Town 38%, draw 23%, Brentwood Town 38%.

How many goals are expected in Burgess Hill Town vs Brentwood Town?

The model expects 3.8 goals (Burgess Hill Town 1.9 · Brentwood Town 1.9), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Burgess Hill Town vs Brentwood Town?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.