Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 17/11, 20:45
Prediction: Dartford vs Three Bridges
Team pages: Dartford · Three Bridges
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.86Total
Dartford2.63
Three Bridges1.24
1X2
Dartford
Draw
Three Bridges
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Dartford
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Three Bridges
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dartford
2–0
Three Bridges
(2 last)
- Dartford3-2Three Bridges
- Three Bridges2-3Dartford
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dartford 1543 · Three Bridges 1434
| Dartford | Draw | Three Bridges | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 18% | 15% |
| Market | 66% | 19% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.86 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dartford (rating 1543 vs 1434).
- H2H favours Dartford: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dartford | Three Bridges | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.5 | 0 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 63/13/25% | 0/0/100% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.4 | 0 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dartford 2–0–0 Three Bridges
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/26 England FA Trophy | Dartford | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Three Bridges |
| 08/08/26 England Isthmian Premier Division | Three Bridges | 2-3 | Dartford |
Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Welling | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Enfield Town | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 45 | 18 | 37 |
| 3 | Eastbourne Borough | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 34 |
| 4 | Lewes | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 31 |
| 5 | Dartford | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 30 |
| 6 | Ramsgate | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 36 | 19 | 28 |
| 7 | Leatherhead | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 23 | 25 |
| 8 | Carshalton Ath | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 34 | 25 |
| 9 | St Albans | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 24 |
| 10 | AFC Whyteleafe | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 24 |
| 11 | Chatham Town | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 27 | 22 |
| 12 | Wingate & Finchley | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 29 | 22 |
| 13 | Burgess Hill Town | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 28 | 22 |
| 14 | Dulwich | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 33 | 21 |
| 15 | Aveley | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 28 | 20 |
| 16 | Maldon Tiptree FC | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 40 | 20 |
| 17 | Cray Wanderers | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Cheshunt | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 27 | 18 |
| 19 | Brentwood Town | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 31 | 16 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 46 | 10 |
| 21 | Stanway Rovers | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 40 | 9 |
| 22 | Whitehawk | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 8 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dartford | Three Bridges |
|---|---|---|
| Eastbourne Borough | 4-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Lewes | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Brentwood Town | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Whitehawk | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Enfield Town | 2-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Dartford (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dartford
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division |
4-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/11 | Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/10 | Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 20/10 | Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 17/10 | AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 06/10 | Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 29/09 | Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 15/09 | Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Three Bridges
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Welling England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 10/11 | Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 07/11 | Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 31/10 | Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 20/10 | Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/10 | Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 13/10 | Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/10 | Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/09 | Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 15/09 | Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dartford vs Three Bridges?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dartford win (66%). Probabilities: Dartford 66%, draw 19%, Three Bridges 15%.
How many goals are expected in Dartford vs Three Bridges?
The model expects 3.86 goals (Dartford 2.63 · Three Bridges 1.24), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Dartford vs Three Bridges?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.