Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 17/11, 20:45

Prediction: Ramsgate vs Cray Wanderers

Team pages: Ramsgate · Cray Wanderers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Ramsgate1.56

Cray Wanderers1.53

1X2

38% 25% 37%

Ramsgate Draw Cray Wanderers

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Ramsgate 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWWLWLWW

Cray Wanderers 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWLDWLWW

Head-to-head

Ramsgate 0–5–1 Cray Wanderers (6 last)

Cray Wanderers1-1Ramsgate
Ramsgate1-1Cray Wanderers
Ramsgate2-2Cray Wanderers
Cray Wanderers2-2Ramsgate
Cray Wanderers0-0Ramsgate
Cray Wanderers5-1Ramsgate

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ramsgate 1542 · Cray Wanderers 1583

	Ramsgate	Draw	Cray Wanderers
Our model	38%	26%	36%
Market	39%	24%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cray Wanderers (rating 1542 vs 1583).
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ramsgate	Cray Wanderers
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.1	2.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	1.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.5	2.8 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.80

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:36 +17’	2.30	3.80	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ramsgate 0–5–1 Cray Wanderers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cray Wanderers	1-1 HT 0-0	Ramsgate
27/09/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Ramsgate	1-1	Cray Wanderers
20/09/23 England FA Cup Qualification	Ramsgate	2-2 HT 1-0	Cray Wanderers
17/09/23 England FA Cup Qualification	Cray Wanderers	2-2	Ramsgate
25/11/18 England Isthmian Division One South	Cray Wanderers	0-0 HT 0-0	Ramsgate
29/11/17 England Isthmian Division One South	Cray Wanderers	5-1 HT 1-0	Ramsgate

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Welling	18	13	1	4	40	18	40
2	Enfield Town	16	12	1	3	45	18	37
3	Eastbourne Borough	16	11	1	4	31	18	34
4	Lewes	18	9	4	5	26	22	31
5	Dartford	16	10	0	6	28	23	30
6	Ramsgate	16	9	1	6	36	19	28
7	Leatherhead	15	7	4	4	30	23	25
8	Carshalton Ath	17	8	1	8	27	34	25
9	St Albans	14	7	3	4	27	21	24
10	AFC Whyteleafe	17	7	3	7	30	27	24
11	Chatham Town	17	7	1	9	28	27	22
12	Wingate & Finchley	15	6	4	5	28	29	22
13	Burgess Hill Town	16	5	7	4	26	28	22
14	Dulwich	17	6	3	8	29	33	21
15	Aveley	16	6	2	8	25	28	20
16	Maldon Tiptree FC	18	6	2	10	26	40	20
17	Cray Wanderers	11	5	3	3	25	15	18
18	Cheshunt	16	4	6	6	19	27	18
19	Brentwood Town	16	5	1	10	25	31	16
20	Three Bridges	17	2	4	11	25	46	10
21	Stanway Rovers	17	2	3	12	14	40	9
22	Whitehawk	17	1	5	11	16	39	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ramsgate	Cray Wanderers
Brentwood Town	3-0 W	4-1 W
Eastbourne Borough	0-2 L	2-1 W
Carshalton Ath	2-3 L	1-2 L
Maldon Tiptree FC	2-0 W	5-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cray Wanderers (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ramsgate

DWLWWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
07/11	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-0	–	–	W
31/10	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
20/10	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
13/10	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	0-2	6	3	L
10/10	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-1	–	–	W
06/10	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	2-1	2-1	1	2	W
03/10	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
15/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/09	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D

Cray Wanderers

DLWWLDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	9	5	W
31/10	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-1	–	–	W
10/10	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	1-2	1-2	8	4	L
29/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	3-0	5-1	4	4	W
15/09	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	3-3	7	3	D
12/09	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
31/08	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-1	–	–	W
22/08	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/08	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ramsgate vs Cray Wanderers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ramsgate win (38%). Probabilities: Ramsgate 38%, draw 25%, Cray Wanderers 37%.

How many goals are expected in Ramsgate vs Cray Wanderers?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Ramsgate 1.56 · Cray Wanderers 1.53), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ramsgate vs Cray Wanderers?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.