Football · Scotland League One · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Ross County vs Hamilton

Team pages: Ross County · Hamilton

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Ross County1.87
Hamilton0.92
1X2
59% 23% 17%
Ross County Draw Hamilton
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Ross County 9-1-0 (W-D-L)
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Hamilton 9-1-0 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Ross County 4–1–1 Hamilton (6 last)
  • Hamilton1-2Ross County
  • Hamilton0-0Ross County
  • Ross County2-1Hamilton
  • Hamilton1-2Ross County
  • Ross County0-2Hamilton
  • Hamilton0-1Ross County
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ross County 1642 · Hamilton 1667
Ross CountyDrawHamilton
Our model59%24%17%
Market60%22%18%
Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Ross County: 4-1-1.
  • High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ross CountyHamilton
Goals for / against (FT)4.1 / 0.62 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)1.9 / 0.11.2 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)80/20/0%80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)4.2 / 6.83.9 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 03.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ross County 4–1–1 Hamilton

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/07/24
Scotland League Cup
Hamilton1-2
HT 1-2
Ross County
21/01/23
Scotland FA Cup
Hamilton0-0
HT 0-0
Ross County
12/05/21
Scotland Premiership
Ross County2-1
HT 1-1
Hamilton
03/02/21
Scotland Premiership
Hamilton1-2
HT 1-0
Ross County
19/12/20
Scotland Premiership
Ross County0-2
HT 0-1
Hamilton
08/08/20
Scotland Premiership
Hamilton0-1
HT 0-0
Ross County

Standings · Scotland League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ross County 111010 42631
2 Hamilton 111010 25431
3 Montrose 12615 172019
4 East Kilbride 11533 201518
5 Airdrieonians 12345 101913
6 Queen of South 12417 133413
7 Alloa 12336 121412
8 Peterhead 12318 92010
9 East Fife 12165 9169
10 Cove Rangers 11137 9186

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRoss CountyHamilton
Airdrieonians 4-0 W 2-1 W
Queen of South 7-1 W 4-1 W
Alloa 4-1 W 3-0 W
Cove Rangers 2-0 W 1-0 W
East Fife 2-2 D 2-1 W
East Kilbride 4-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 0 L 6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ross County (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ross County

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Airdrieonians
Scotland League One
3-0 4-0 62 W
17/10 Queen of South
Scotland League One
5-0 7-1 56 W
10/10 Montrose
Scotland League One
3-0 5-0 85 W
03/10 Alloa
Scotland League One
1-0 4-1 75 W
19/09 Cove Rangers
Scotland League One
1-0 2-0 35 W
15/09 Queen of South
Scotland League One
2-0 8-0 74 W
05/09 East Fife
Scotland League One
0-0 2-2 86 D
29/08 East Kilbride
Scotland League One
1-0 4-0 75 W
22/08 Airdrieonians
Scotland League One
2-0 3-1 74 W
08/08 Montrose
Scotland League One
1-1 2-1 107 W

Hamilton

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 East Fife
Scotland League One
1-0 2-1 71 W
17/10 Airdrieonians
Scotland League One
1-0 2-1 77 W
10/10 Alloa
Scotland League One
3-0 3-0 45 W
03/10 Peterhead
Scotland League One
0-0 2-1 72 W
19/09 Queen of South
Scotland League One
3-1 4-1 92 W
05/09 East Kilbride
Scotland League One
1-0 1-0 56 W
29/08 Cove Rangers
Scotland League One
1-0 1-0 33 W
22/08 East Fife
Scotland League One
0-0 0-0 92 D
15/08 Airdrieonians
Scotland League One
1-0 4-0 75 W
08/08 Alloa
Scotland League One
1-0 1-0 76 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ross County vs Hamilton?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ross County win (59%). Probabilities: Ross County 59%, draw 23%, Hamilton 17%.

How many goals are expected in Ross County vs Hamilton?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Ross County 1.87 · Hamilton 0.92), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ross County vs Hamilton?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.