Prediction: Ross County vs Airdrieonians
Team pages: Ross County · Airdrieonians
- Airdrieonians1-3Ross County
- Airdrieonians0-3Ross County
- Ross County0-4Airdrieonians
- Airdrieonians0-1Ross County
- Ross County1-2Airdrieonians
- Airdrieonians2-2Ross County
| Ross County | Draw | Airdrieonians | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 18% | 12% |
| Market | 70% | 18% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ross County (rating 1636 vs 1543).
- H2H favours Ross County: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ross County | Airdrieonians | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.8 / 0.6 | 1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.4 / 6.8 | 2.7 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0 | 6.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ross County 3–1–2 Airdrieonians
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/26 Scotland League One | Airdrieonians | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Ross County |
| 25/07/26 Scotland League Cup | Airdrieonians | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Ross County |
| 04/04/26 Scotland Championship | Ross County | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Airdrieonians |
| 24/01/26 Scotland Championship | Airdrieonians | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ross County |
| 06/12/25 Scotland Championship | Ross County | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Airdrieonians |
| 02/08/25 Scotland Championship | Airdrieonians | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Ross County |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 6 | 28 |
| 2 | Hamilton | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 28 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 18 |
| 4 | Montrose | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 16 |
| 5 | Airdrieonians | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 13 |
| 6 | Alloa | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| 7 | Peterhead | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 10 |
| 8 | Queen of South | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 10 |
| 9 | East Fife | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 9 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ross County | Airdrieonians |
|---|---|---|
| Queen of South | 7-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Montrose | 5-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Alloa | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| East Fife | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| East Kilbride | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Peterhead | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ross County (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ross County
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
5-0 | 7-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Montrose Scotland League One |
3-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Alloa Scotland League One |
1-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/09 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
2-0 | 8-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Montrose Scotland League One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 01/08 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
Airdrieonians
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 10/10 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 03/10 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Alloa Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 22/08 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ross County vs Airdrieonians?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ross County win (70%). Probabilities: Ross County 70%, draw 18%, Airdrieonians 12%.
How many goals are expected in Ross County vs Airdrieonians?
The model expects 3.6 goals (Ross County 2.58 · Airdrieonians 1.02), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ross County vs Airdrieonians?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.