Football · Scotland League One · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Peterhead vs Alloa

Team pages: Peterhead · Alloa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Peterhead1.33
Alloa1.18
1X2
40% 28% 32%
Peterhead Draw Alloa
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Peterhead 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
WLDLLLLLWL
Alloa 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WWDDLLLLWL
Head-to-head
Peterhead 3–1–2 Alloa (6 last)
  • Alloa1-1Peterhead
  • Alloa1-2Peterhead
  • Peterhead3-1Alloa
  • Alloa4-0Peterhead
  • Peterhead2-1Alloa
  • Peterhead0-2Alloa
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Peterhead 1468 · Alloa 1476
PeterheadDrawAlloa
Our model39%29%32%
Market40%27%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Peterhead: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PeterheadAlloa
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.91.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 0.70.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/50/50%30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.32.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.14.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Peterhead 3–1–2 Alloa

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/08/26
Scotland League One
Alloa1-1
HT 1-0
Peterhead
28/03/26
Scotland League One
Alloa1-2
HT 1-0
Peterhead
10/03/26
Scotland League One
Peterhead3-1
HT 2-0
Alloa
06/12/25
Scotland League One
Alloa4-0
HT 1-0
Peterhead
27/09/25
Scotland League One
Peterhead2-1
HT 2-1
Alloa
25/03/23
Scotland League One
Peterhead0-2
HT 0-0
Alloa

Standings · Scotland League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ross County 111010 42631
2 Hamilton 111010 25431
3 Montrose 12615 172019
4 East Kilbride 11533 201518
5 Airdrieonians 12345 101913
6 Queen of South 12417 133413
7 Alloa 12336 121412
8 Peterhead 12318 92010
9 East Fife 12165 9169
10 Cove Rangers 11137 9186

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPeterheadAlloa
Montrose 0-3 L 3-0 W
Cove Rangers 2-0 W 1-1 D
Queen of South 0-1 L 0-1 L
Hamilton 1-2 L 0-3 L
Airdrieonians 1-2 L 0-1 L
East Kilbride 1-3 L 1-2 L
East Fife 2-1 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 5 L 2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Alloa (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Peterhead

WLDLLLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-2 0-3 45 L
17/10 Cove Rangers
Scotland League One
0-0 2-0 66 W
10/10 Queen of South
Scotland League One
0-0 0-1 36 L
03/10 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-0 1-2 22 L
19/09 Airdrieonians
Scotland League One
0-1 1-2 96 L
12/09 East Kilbride
Scotland League One
0-1 1-3 26 L
05/09 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-2 0-3 45 L
29/08 Alloa
Scotland League One
0-1 1-1 45 D
22/08 Cove Rangers
Scotland League One
0-0 0-3 44 L
15/08 East Fife
Scotland League One
0-0 2-1 55 W

Alloa

WWDDLLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Queen of South
Scotland League One
0-1 0-1 88 L
17/10 East Fife
Scotland League One
1-0 3-0 54 W
10/10 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-3 0-3 25 L
03/10 Ross County
Scotland League One
0-1 1-4 35 L
19/09 East Kilbride
Scotland League One
0-1 1-2 25 L
12/09 Airdrieonians
Scotland League One
0-1 0-1 74 L
05/09 Cove Rangers
Scotland League One
0-1 1-1 76 D
29/08 Peterhead
Scotland League One
1-0 1-1 35 D
22/08 Queen of South
Scotland League One
0-0 2-0 53 W
15/08 Montrose
Scotland League One
2-0 3-0 64 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Peterhead vs Alloa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Peterhead win (40%). Probabilities: Peterhead 40%, draw 28%, Alloa 32%.

How many goals are expected in Peterhead vs Alloa?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Peterhead 1.33 · Alloa 1.18), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Peterhead vs Alloa?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.