Football · Scotland League One · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: East Kilbride vs Ross County

Team pages: East Kilbride · Ross County

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.8Total
East Kilbride1.41
Ross County2.4
1X2
21% 21% 59%
East Kilbride Draw Ross County
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
East Kilbride 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWLLLWWWDD
Ross County 9-1-0 (W-D-L)
WWWDWWWWWW
Head-to-head
East Kilbride 0–1 Ross County (1 last)
  • Ross County4-0East Kilbride
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · East Kilbride 1528 · Ross County 1642
East KilbrideDrawRoss County
Our model21%21%59%
Market21%21%59%
Estimated total (ours) 3.8 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ross County (rating 1528 vs 1642).
  • High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

East KilbrideRoss County
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.44.1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.51.9 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 6.64.2 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 0.14.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · East Kilbride 0–0–1 Ross County

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/08/26
Scotland League One
Ross County4-0
HT 1-0
East Kilbride

Standings · Scotland League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ross County 111010 42631
2 Hamilton 111010 25431
3 Montrose 12615 172019
4 East Kilbride 11533 201518
5 Airdrieonians 12345 101913
6 Queen of South 12417 133413
7 Alloa 12336 121412
8 Peterhead 12318 92010
9 East Fife 12165 9169
10 Cove Rangers 11137 9186

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEast KilbrideRoss County
Montrose 1-1 D 5-0 W
Airdrieonians 2-2 D 4-0 W
East Fife 3-0 W 2-2 D
Alloa 2-1 W 4-1 W
Cove Rangers 3-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 0 L 4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ross County (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

East Kilbride

DWLLLWWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-0 1-1 135 D
10/10 Airdrieonians
Scotland League One
2-1 2-2 67 D
03/10 East Fife
Scotland League One
1-0 3-0 45 W
19/09 Alloa
Scotland League One
1-0 2-1 75 W
12/09 Peterhead
Scotland League One
1-0 3-1 46 W
05/09 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-1 0-1 116 L
29/08 Ross County
Scotland League One
0-1 0-4 35 L
22/08 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-2 0-3 45 L
15/08 Cove Rangers
Scotland League One
0-0 3-0 75 W
08/08 Airdrieonians
Scotland League One
0-0 1-1 76 D

Ross County

WWWDWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Airdrieonians
Scotland League One
3-0 4-0 62 W
17/10 Queen of South
Scotland League One
5-0 7-1 56 W
10/10 Montrose
Scotland League One
3-0 5-0 85 W
03/10 Alloa
Scotland League One
1-0 4-1 75 W
19/09 Cove Rangers
Scotland League One
1-0 2-0 35 W
15/09 Queen of South
Scotland League One
2-0 8-0 74 W
05/09 East Fife
Scotland League One
0-0 2-2 86 D
29/08 East Kilbride
Scotland League One
1-0 4-0 75 W
22/08 Airdrieonians
Scotland League One
2-0 3-1 74 W
08/08 Montrose
Scotland League One
1-1 2-1 107 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in East Kilbride vs Ross County?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ross County win (59%). Probabilities: East Kilbride 21%, draw 21%, Ross County 59%.

How many goals are expected in East Kilbride vs Ross County?

The model expects 3.8 goals (East Kilbride 1.41 · Ross County 2.4), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in East Kilbride vs Ross County?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.