Football · Scotland League One · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: East Fife vs Queen of South

Team pages: East Fife · Queen of South

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

East Fife1.63

Queen of South1.41

1X2

42% 26% 32%

East Fife Draw Queen of South

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

East Fife 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

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Queen of South 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

East Fife 1–3–2 Queen of South (6 last)

Queen of South1-1East Fife
Queen of South2-2East Fife
East Fife1-5Queen of South
Queen of South3-0East Fife
East Fife2-1Queen of South
Queen of South0-0East Fife

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · East Fife 1431 · Queen of South 1507

	East Fife	Draw	Queen of South
Our model	42%	26%	32%
Market	42%	26%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Queen of South (rating 1431 vs 1507).
H2H favours Queen of South: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	East Fife	Queen of South
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.6	1.2 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.5	0.4 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4	1.6 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0	5.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.40

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:36 +4’	2.15	3.40	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · East Fife 1–3–2 Queen of South

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/26 Scotland League One	Queen of South	1-1 HT 0-0	East Fife
21/03/26 Scotland League One	Queen of South	2-2 HT 2-1	East Fife
24/01/26 Scotland League One	East Fife	1-5 HT 0-2	Queen of South
08/11/25 Scotland League One	Queen of South	3-0 HT 2-0	East Fife
13/09/25 Scotland League One	East Fife	2-1 HT 1-1	Queen of South
25/07/23 Scotland League Cup	Queen of South	0-0 HT 0-0	East Fife

Standings · Scotland League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ross County	11	10	1	0	42	6	31
2	Hamilton	11	10	1	0	25	4	31
3	Montrose	12	6	1	5	17	20	19
4	East Kilbride	11	5	3	3	20	15	18
5	Airdrieonians	12	3	4	5	10	19	13
6	Queen of South	12	4	1	7	13	34	13
7	Alloa	12	3	3	6	12	14	12
8	Peterhead	12	3	1	8	9	20	10
9	East Fife	12	1	6	5	9	16	9
10	Cove Rangers	11	1	3	7	9	18	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	East Fife	Queen of South
Hamilton	1-2 L	1-4 L
Alloa	0-3 L	1-0 W
Cove Rangers	1-1 D	4-3 W
Montrose	1-2 L	1-2 L
Ross County	2-2 D	1-7 L
Airdrieonians	0-0 D	2-1 W
Peterhead	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Queen of South (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

East Fife

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Hamilton Scotland League One	0-1	1-2	1	1	L
17/10	Alloa Scotland League One	0-1	0-3	7	4	L
10/10	Cove Rangers Scotland League One	0-1	1-1	9	5	D
03/10	East Kilbride Scotland League One	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
19/09	Montrose Scotland League One	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
12/09	Queen of South Scotland League One	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
05/09	Ross County Scotland League One	0-0	2-2	1	6	D
29/08	Airdrieonians Scotland League One	0-0	0-0	3	10	D
22/08	Hamilton Scotland League One	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
15/08	Peterhead Scotland League One	0-0	1-2	3	5	L

Queen of South

LLWDLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Alloa Scotland League One	1-0	1-0	4	8	W
17/10	Ross County Scotland League One	0-5	1-7	3	6	L
10/10	Peterhead Scotland League One	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
03/10	Cove Rangers Scotland League One	2-0	4-3	6	6	W
19/09	Hamilton Scotland League One	1-3	1-4	0	2	L
15/09	Ross County Scotland League One	0-2	0-8	2	4	L
12/09	East Fife Scotland League One	0-0	1-1	4	7	D
05/09	Airdrieonians Scotland League One	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	Montrose Scotland League One	0-1	1-2	3	7	L
22/08	Alloa Scotland League One	0-0	0-2	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in East Fife vs Queen of South?

According to our model, the most likely result is a East Fife win (42%). Probabilities: East Fife 42%, draw 26%, Queen of South 32%.

How many goals are expected in East Fife vs Queen of South?

The model expects 3.04 goals (East Fife 1.63 · Queen of South 1.41), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in East Fife vs Queen of South?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.