Football · Scotland League One · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Airdrieonians vs Cove Rangers

Team pages: Airdrieonians · Cove Rangers

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Airdrieonians1.7
Cove Rangers1.05
1X2
52% 26% 22%
Airdrieonians Draw Cove Rangers
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Airdrieonians 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLDLWWWDLL
Cove Rangers 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LLWLDLLLDL
Head-to-head
Airdrieonians 1–4–1 Cove Rangers (6 last)
  • Cove Rangers0-0Airdrieonians
  • Airdrieonians0-0Cove Rangers
  • Cove Rangers1-2Airdrieonians
  • Airdrieonians1-1Cove Rangers
  • Cove Rangers1-1Airdrieonians
  • Airdrieonians0-2Cove Rangers
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Airdrieonians 1535 · Cove Rangers 1486
AirdrieoniansDrawCove Rangers
Our model52%26%22%
Market52%26%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Airdrieonians (rating 1535 vs 1486).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AirdrieoniansCove Rangers
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.80.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.90.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 41.7 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.8 / 03.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Airdrieonians 1–4–1 Cove Rangers

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/08/26
Scotland League One
Cove Rangers0-0
HT 0-0
Airdrieonians
17/05/25
Scotland Championship Play-Offs
Airdrieonians0-0
HT 0-0
Cove Rangers
14/05/25
Scotland Championship Play-Offs
Cove Rangers1-2
HT 1-1
Airdrieonians
26/03/22
Scotland League One
Airdrieonians1-1
HT 1-0
Cove Rangers
05/02/22
Scotland League One
Cove Rangers1-1
HT 1-0
Airdrieonians
20/11/21
Scotland League One
Airdrieonians0-2
HT 0-0
Cove Rangers

Standings · Scotland League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ross County 111010 42631
2 Hamilton 111010 25431
3 Montrose 12615 172019
4 East Kilbride 11533 201518
5 Airdrieonians 12345 101913
6 Queen of South 12417 133413
7 Alloa 12336 121412
8 Peterhead 12318 92010
9 East Fife 12165 9169
10 Cove Rangers 11137 9186

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAirdrieoniansCove Rangers
Ross County 0-4 L 0-2 L
Hamilton 1-2 L 0-1 L
East Kilbride 2-2 D 0-3 L
Montrose 1-0 W 1-2 L
Peterhead 2-1 W 0-2 L
Alloa 1-0 W 1-1 D
Queen of South 1-2 L 3-4 L
East Fife 0-0 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 3 L 0 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Airdrieonians (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Airdrieonians

LLDLWWWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Ross County
Scotland League One
0-3 0-4 22 L
17/10 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-1 1-2 47 L
10/10 East Kilbride
Scotland League One
1-2 2-2 47 D
03/10 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-0 1-0 17 W
19/09 Peterhead
Scotland League One
1-0 2-1 46 W
12/09 Alloa
Scotland League One
1-0 1-0 44 W
05/09 Queen of South
Scotland League One
1-0 1-2 –– L
29/08 East Fife
Scotland League One
0-0 0-0 510 D
22/08 Ross County
Scotland League One
0-2 1-3 44 L
15/08 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-1 0-4 85 L

Cove Rangers

LLWLDLLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Peterhead
Scotland League One
0-0 0-2 56 L
10/10 East Fife
Scotland League One
1-0 1-1 45 D
03/10 Queen of South
Scotland League One
0-2 3-4 76 L
19/09 Ross County
Scotland League One
0-1 0-2 45 L
12/09 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-1 1-2 40 L
05/09 Alloa
Scotland League One
1-0 1-1 46 D
29/08 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-1 0-1 33 L
22/08 Peterhead
Scotland League One
0-0 3-0 34 W
15/08 East Kilbride
Scotland League One
0-0 0-3 25 L
08/08 East Fife
Scotland League One
0-0 0-2 31 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Airdrieonians vs Cove Rangers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Airdrieonians win (52%). Probabilities: Airdrieonians 52%, draw 26%, Cove Rangers 22%.

How many goals are expected in Airdrieonians vs Cove Rangers?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Airdrieonians 1.7 · Cove Rangers 1.05), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Airdrieonians vs Cove Rangers?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.