Football · Panama Liga Prom · 28/10, 15:00

Prediction: CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves vs Union Cocle Reserves

Team pages: CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves · Union Cocle Reserves

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.29Total
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves2.3
Union Cocle Reserves0.98
1X2
67% 19% 14%
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Draw Union Cocle Reserves
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DDWWLWDWWL
Union Cocle Reserves 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LDLWLDDWLL
Head-to-head
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 2–1–0 Union Cocle Reserves (3 last)
  • Union Cocle Reserves1-1CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
  • Union Cocle Reserves0-1CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
  • CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves2-0Union Cocle Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 1560 · Union Cocle Reserves 1442
CA Independiente de la Chorrera ReservesDrawUnion Cocle Reserves
Our model66%20%14%
Market67%18%15%
Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves (rating 1560 vs 1442).
  • H2H favours CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves: 2-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CA Independiente de la Chorrera ReservesUnion Cocle Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 1.51.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.40.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)43/43/14%22/33/44%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.11.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.7 / 0.66.3 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 2–1–0 Union Cocle Reserves

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/08/26
Panama Liga Prom
Union Cocle Reserves1-1
HT 0-1
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
25/04/26
Panama Liga Prom
Union Cocle Reserves0-1
HT 0-0
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
08/02/26
Panama Liga Prom
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves2-0
HT 1-0
Union Cocle Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Aguilas de la U 141202 431136
2 Udelas FC 141202 371236
3 CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 12732 251624
4 San Francisco Reserves 14716 232522
5 SD Atletico Nacional 13706 252721
6 Union Cocle Reserves 12237 12279

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCA Independiente de la Chorrera ReservesUnion Cocle Reserves
San Francisco Reserves 2-3 L 1-3 L
Rayados de Chiriqui 2-0 W 0-6 L
Bocas 1-1 D 1-0 W
Veraguas United Reserves 4-2 W 0-0 D
CD Universitario Reserves 1-2 L 0-0 D
La Familia FC 3-2 W 2-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

DDWWLWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/10 San Francisco Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
2-1 2-3 65 L
17/10 Aguilas de la U
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 2-0 53 W
26/09 Rayados de Chiriqui
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 2-0 710 W
18/09 Bocas
Panama Liga Prom
– 1-1 –– D
11/09 Veraguas United Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
– 4-2 –– W
05/09 CD Universitario Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 1-2 48 L
29/08 La Familia FC
Panama Liga Prom
2-0 3-2 49 W
22/08 SD Atletico Nacional
Panama Liga Prom
– 4-2 –– W
12/08 Union Cocle Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
1-0 1-1 73 D
07/08 San Francisco Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
1-1 2-2 36 D

Union Cocle Reserves

LDLWLDDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/10 Udelas FC
Panama Liga Prom
0-2 1-4 07 L
03/10 Rayados de Chiriqui
Panama Liga Prom
– 0-6 –– L
23/09 Bocas
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 1-0 44 W
16/09 Veraguas United Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 0-0 73 D
12/09 CD Universitario Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 0-0 09 D
06/09 La Familia FC
Panama Liga Prom
1-2 2-3 413 L
26/08 Herrera FC Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
3-1 4-1 88 W
21/08 San Francisco Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
1-2 1-3 38 L
12/08 CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 1-1 73 D
05/08 Udelas FC
Panama Liga Prom
1-0 1-3 38 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves vs Union Cocle Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves win (67%). Probabilities: CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 67%, draw 19%, Union Cocle Reserves 14%.

How many goals are expected in CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves vs Union Cocle Reserves?

The model expects 3.29 goals (CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 2.3 · Union Cocle Reserves 0.98), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves vs Union Cocle Reserves?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.