Football · Panama Liga Prom · 06/11, 21:00
Prediction: Chorrillo vs Potros Del Este
Team pages: Chorrillo · Potros Del Este
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Chorrillo1.76
Potros Del Este0.94
1X2
Chorrillo
Draw
Potros Del Este
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Chorrillo
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Potros Del Este
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chorrillo
5–0
Potros Del Este
(5 last)
- Potros Del Este0-1Chorrillo
- Potros Del Este0-4Chorrillo
- Chorrillo2-0Potros Del Este
- Potros Del Este0-2Chorrillo
- Chorrillo3-1Potros Del Este
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chorrillo 1609 · Potros Del Este 1409
| Chorrillo | Draw | Potros Del Este | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Market | 57% | 22% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.7 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chorrillo (rating 1609 vs 1409).
- H2H favours Chorrillo: 5-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 12.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chorrillo | Potros Del Este | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/50/25% | 13/75/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4 | 0.8 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.8 / 0.5 | 6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chorrillo 5–0–0 Potros Del Este
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/26 Panama Liga Prom | Potros Del Este | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Chorrillo |
| 02/04/26 Panama Liga Prom | Potros Del Este | 0-4 HT 0-0 | Chorrillo |
| 13/02/26 Panama Liga Prom | Chorrillo | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Potros Del Este |
| 18/10/25 Panama Liga Prom | Potros Del Este | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Chorrillo |
| 25/07/25 Panama Liga Prom | Chorrillo | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Potros Del Este |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chorrillo | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | Tauro FC Reserves | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 21 | 27 |
| 3 | Plaza Amador Reserves | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 24 |
| 4 | Potros Del Este | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 15 |
| 5 | Alianza FC Reserves | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 15 |
| 6 | San Martin FC | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 35 | 8 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chorrillo | Potros Del Este |
|---|---|---|
| Plaza Amador Reserves | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Alianza FC Reserves | 7-1 W | 0-2 L |
| San Martin FC | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Tauro FC Reserves | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Panama City FC | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| UMECIT Reserves | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Champions FC Academy | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Academia Costa Del Este | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 7 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Chorrillo (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chorrillo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/10 | Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
4-0 | 7-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 21/10 | San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 08/10 | Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 03/10 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 26/09 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 18/09 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 11/09 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 05/09 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/08 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
Potros Del Este
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/10 | San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/10 | Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 09/10 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 01/10 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 25/09 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 17/09 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 11/09 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chorrillo vs Potros Del Este?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chorrillo win (56%). Probabilities: Chorrillo 56%, draw 24%, Potros Del Este 20%.
How many goals are expected in Chorrillo vs Potros Del Este?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Chorrillo 1.76 · Potros Del Este 0.94), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Chorrillo vs Potros Del Este?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.