Prediction: Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal
Team pages: Al Talaba · Ghaz Al Shamal
| Al Talaba | Draw | Ghaz Al Shamal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 35% | 25% |
| Market | 43% | 29% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Talaba | Ghaz Al Shamal | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.9 | 1.4 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.5 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Standings · Iraq Stars League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Karma | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Al Naft SC | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | Al Zawra'a | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Al Shorta SC | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Newroz SC | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Al Jolan SC | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 20 |
| 7 | Erbil SC | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 19 |
| 8 | Al Talaba | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 18 |
| 9 | Al Minaa | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 16 |
| 10 | Duhok | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 15 |
| 11 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| 12 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 13 |
| 13 | Diyala FC | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 13 |
| 14 | Zakho | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 13 |
| 15 | Al Gharraf | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 13 |
| 16 | Mosul FC | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 12 |
| 17 | Al Karkh | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 9 |
| 18 | Naft Maysan | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 9 |
| 19 | Al Kahrabaa | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 8 |
| 20 | Karbalaa FC | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Talaba | Ghaz Al Shamal |
|---|---|---|
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Al Shorta SC | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Al Jolan SC | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Naft Maysan | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Newroz SC | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Talaba (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Talaba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Karbalaa FC Iraq Stars League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 22/10 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 16/10 | Al Kahrabaa Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 08/10 | Al Shorta SC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 18/09 | Al Jolan SC Iraq Stars League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Naft Maysan Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/09 | Al Karkh Iraq Stars League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Zakho Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 31/08 | Al Naft SC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 26/08 | Newroz SC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
Ghaz Al Shamal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Erbil SC Iraq Stars League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 25/10 | Naft Maysan Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | Al Zawra'a Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Al Minaa Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Newroz SC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Al Shorta SC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 08/09 | Duhok Iraq Stars League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 04/09 | Al Jolan SC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Al Gharraf Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/08 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Talaba win (41%). Probabilities: Al Talaba 41%, draw 32%, Ghaz Al Shamal 27%.
How many goals are expected in Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
The model expects 1.78 goals (Al Talaba 1.03 · Ghaz Al Shamal 0.76), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.