Football · Iraq Stars League · 05/11, 14:00

Prediction: Al Kahrabaa vs Zakho

Team pages: Al Kahrabaa · Zakho

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.04Total
Al Kahrabaa0.89
Zakho1.15
1X2
28% 31% 41%
Al Kahrabaa Draw Zakho
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Kahrabaa 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
DDDLWLDLLL
Zakho 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DLDDWLLLWD
Head-to-head
Al Kahrabaa 2–4 Zakho (6 last)
  • Zakho2-1Al Kahrabaa
  • Al Kahrabaa0-3Zakho
  • Al Kahrabaa0-3Zakho
  • Zakho0-1Al Kahrabaa
  • Al Kahrabaa1-3Zakho
  • Al Kahrabaa1-0Zakho
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Kahrabaa 1431 · Zakho 1503
Al KahrabaaDrawZakho
Our model27%33%40%
Market28%30%42%
Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zakho (rating 1431 vs 1503).
  • H2H favours Zakho: 4-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Al KahrabaaZakho
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 1.10.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.22.5 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.14.1 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Kahrabaa 2–0–4 Zakho

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/04/26
Iraq Stars League
Zakho2-1
HT 1-1
Al Kahrabaa
14/01/26
Iraq Stars League
Al Kahrabaa0-3
HT 0-2
Zakho
07/05/25
Iraq Stars League
Al Kahrabaa0-3
HT 0-1
Zakho
15/01/25
Iraq League
Zakho0-1
HT 0-1
Al Kahrabaa
25/04/24
Iraq League
Al Kahrabaa1-3
HT 0-2
Zakho
05/12/22
Iraq League
Al Kahrabaa1-0
HT 1-0
Zakho

Standings · Iraq Stars League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Al Karma 12831 19927
2 Al Naft SC 12741 14525
3 Al Zawra'a 12633 17921
4 Al Shorta SC 12561 13621
5 Newroz SC 12552 14620
6 Al Jolan SC 12552 161220
7 Erbil SC 12543 15819
8 Al Talaba 12462 141318
9 Al Minaa 12444 121316
10 Duhok 12363 191615
11 Ghaz Al Shamal 12363 7815
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 12273 141313
13 Diyala FC 12345 151813
14 Zakho 12345 91513
15 Al Gharraf 12345 81413
16 Mosul FC 12336 132012
17 Al Karkh 12237 15219
18 Naft Maysan 12165 7159
19 Al Kahrabaa 12156 7148
20 Karbalaa FC 12147 11247

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAl KahrabaaZakho
Al Naft SC 0-1 L 0-2 L
Al Jolan SC 1-2 L 1-1 D
Al Talaba 0-1 L 0-0 D
Al Zawra'a 0-1 L 0-4 L
Al Karma 1-1 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 4 L 0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Al Kahrabaa (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Kahrabaa

DDDLWLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/10 Al Naft SC
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-1 46 L
23/10 Al Jolan SC
Iraq Stars League
1-1 1-2 66 L
16/10 Al Talaba
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-1 06 L
10/10 Karbalaa FC
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-0 72 D
19/09 Al Shorta SC
Iraq Stars League
0-1 0-2 45 L
13/09 Al Minaa
Iraq Stars League
0-1 2-1 24 W
07/09 Al Zawra'a
Iraq Stars League
0-1 0-1 45 L
03/09 Al Gharraf
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-0 83 D
29/08 Al Karkh
Iraq Stars League
2-0 2-2 25 D
26/08 Al Karma
Iraq Stars League
0-0 1-1 510 D

Zakho

DLDDWLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Naft Maysan
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-0 –– D
22/10 Erbil SC
Iraq Stars League
0-0 2-1 77 W
17/10 Al Naft SC
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-2 –– L
09/10 Newroz SC
Iraq Stars League
0-1 0-1 10 L
19/09 Al Karma
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-1 57 L
13/09 Mosul FC
Iraq Stars League
2-0 2-1 –– W
09/09 Al Jolan SC
Iraq Stars League
0-1 1-1 64 D
05/09 Al Talaba
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-0 38 D
29/08 Al Zawra'a
Iraq Stars League
0-2 0-4 86 L
25/08 Diyala FC
Iraq Stars League
1-1 2-2 42 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Kahrabaa vs Zakho?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Zakho win (41%). Probabilities: Al Kahrabaa 28%, draw 31%, Zakho 41%.

How many goals are expected in Al Kahrabaa vs Zakho?

The model expects 2.04 goals (Al Kahrabaa 0.89 · Zakho 1.15), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Kahrabaa vs Zakho?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.