Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 28/10, 19:00
Prediction: LDU Portoviejo vs Cumbaya
Team pages: LDU Portoviejo · Cumbaya
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
LDU Portoviejo1.23
Cumbaya0.99
1X2
LDU Portoviejo
Draw
Cumbaya
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
LDU Portoviejo
4-6-0 (W-D-L)
Cumbaya
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
LDU Portoviejo
0–4–2
Cumbaya
(6 last)
- Cumbaya0-0LDU Portoviejo
- LDU Portoviejo0-0Cumbaya
- Cumbaya1-1LDU Portoviejo
- Cumbaya4-3LDU Portoviejo
- LDU Portoviejo1-2Cumbaya
- Cumbaya1-1LDU Portoviejo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · LDU Portoviejo 1525 · Cumbaya 1529
| LDU Portoviejo | Draw | Cumbaya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 31% | 28% |
| Market | 41% | 29% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cumbaya: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| LDU Portoviejo | Cumbaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 2.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 43/57/0% | 29/57/14% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.6 | 2.3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · LDU Portoviejo 0–4–2 Cumbaya
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Cumbaya | 0-0 HT 0-0 | LDU Portoviejo |
| 08/08/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | LDU Portoviejo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cumbaya |
| 13/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Cumbaya | 1-1 HT 1-0 | LDU Portoviejo |
| 13/10/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Cumbaya | 4-3 HT 3-1 | LDU Portoviejo |
| 04/07/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | LDU Portoviejo | 1-2 | Cumbaya |
| 13/06/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Cumbaya | 1-1 HT 1-0 | LDU Portoviejo |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gualaceo SC | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 33 | 20 | 42 |
| 2 | CD Vargas Torres | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 31 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | LDU Portoviejo | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 42 |
| 4 | Cumbaya | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 40 |
| 5 | El Nacional | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 27 | 50 | 15 |
| 6 | 22 de Julio | 31 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 66 | 11 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | LDU Portoviejo | Cumbaya |
|---|---|---|
| 22 de Julio | 1-1 D | 7-1 W |
| Gualaceo SC | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| CD Vargas Torres | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| El Nacional | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LDU Portoviejo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/10 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 08/10 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/09 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 19/09 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 26/08 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 21/08 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Cumbaya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 15/10 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/10 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 26/09 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/09 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/09 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/09 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/08 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 20/08 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/08 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LDU Portoviejo vs Cumbaya?
According to our model, the most likely result is a LDU Portoviejo win (41%). Probabilities: LDU Portoviejo 41%, draw 30%, Cumbaya 29%.
How many goals are expected in LDU Portoviejo vs Cumbaya?
The model expects 2.21 goals (LDU Portoviejo 1.23 · Cumbaya 0.99), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in LDU Portoviejo vs Cumbaya?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.