Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 22/10, 20:30

Prediction: CD Cuenca Jrs vs Atletico FC Guayaquil

Team pages: CD Cuenca Jrs · Atletico FC Guayaquil

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.8Total

CD Cuenca Jrs0.97

Atletico FC Guayaquil0.84

1X2

38% 32% 31%

CD Cuenca Jrs Draw Atletico FC Guayaquil

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Cuenca Jrs 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLDLLWLLDL

Atletico FC Guayaquil 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWLDWDWWWW

Head-to-head

CD Cuenca Jrs 0–2–1 Atletico FC Guayaquil (3 last)

Atletico FC Guayaquil2-0CD Cuenca Jrs
CD Cuenca Jrs0-0Atletico FC Guayaquil
Atletico FC Guayaquil0-0CD Cuenca Jrs

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Cuenca Jrs 1442 · Atletico FC Guayaquil 1567

	CD Cuenca Jrs	Draw	Atletico FC Guayaquil
Our model	36%	35%	29%
Market	39%	29%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 1.8 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico FC Guayaquil (rating 1442 vs 1567).
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Cuenca Jrs	Atletico FC Guayaquil
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 1.4	1.5 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/11/67%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 2.3	1.6 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.10

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:54 +12’	2.30	3.10	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Cuenca Jrs 0–2–1 Atletico FC Guayaquil

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/09/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Atletico FC Guayaquil	2-0 HT 2-0	CD Cuenca Jrs
24/07/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	CD Cuenca Jrs	0-0 HT 0-0	Atletico FC Guayaquil
03/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Atletico FC Guayaquil	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Cuenca Jrs

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Promotion Round

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico FC Guayaquil	30	14	13	3	37	19	55
2	Independiente Juniors	30	13	11	6	36	24	50
3	Vinotinto Ecuador	30	13	9	8	37	23	48
4	Club 9 de Octubre	30	12	12	6	32	21	48
5	CD Cuenca Jrs	30	10	9	11	23	34	39
6	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	30	8	12	10	29	34	36

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Cuenca Jrs	Atletico FC Guayaquil
San Antonio FC Cotacachi	0-2 L	2-1 W
Vinotinto Ecuador	1-1 D	0-1 L
Independiente Juniors	0-2 L	1-0 W
Club 9 de Octubre	1-1 D	1-0 W
Gualaceo SC	0-3 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico FC Guayaquil (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Cuenca Jrs

WLDLLWLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-2	0-2	1	3	L
07/10	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
02/10	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-2	0	5	L
24/09	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-2	0-2	3	3	L
16/09	San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
11/09	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-2	0-2	3	7	L
04/09	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
28/08	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-1	1	9	D
20/08	Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-3	1	7	L
14/08	22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	1-0	–	–	W

Atletico FC Guayaquil

DWLDWDWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/10	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
08/10	San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	2-1	4	4	W
03/10	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
24/09	CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	2-0	2-0	4	3	W
17/09	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	1-1	0	8	D
10/09	San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	3-0	4	2	W
04/09	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	2-2	4	13	D
27/08	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
20/08	Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	3-0	3-0	1	3	W
15/08	Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	6	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Cuenca Jrs vs Atletico FC Guayaquil?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Cuenca Jrs win (38%). Probabilities: CD Cuenca Jrs 38%, draw 32%, Atletico FC Guayaquil 31%.

How many goals are expected in CD Cuenca Jrs vs Atletico FC Guayaquil?

The model expects 1.8 goals (CD Cuenca Jrs 0.97 · Atletico FC Guayaquil 0.84), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Cuenca Jrs vs Atletico FC Guayaquil?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.