Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 28/10, 20:00

Prediction: Club 9 de Octubre vs CD Cuenca Jrs

Team pages: Club 9 de Octubre · CD Cuenca Jrs

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

Club 9 de Octubre1.69

CD Cuenca Jrs0.76

1X2

59% 25% 16%

Club 9 de Octubre Draw CD Cuenca Jrs

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Club 9 de Octubre 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDDWLWLLWD

CD Cuenca Jrs 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLWLLDLD

Head-to-head

Club 9 de Octubre 0–3–1 CD Cuenca Jrs (4 last)

CD Cuenca Jrs1-1Club 9 de Octubre
Club 9 de Octubre3-3CD Cuenca Jrs
CD Cuenca Jrs0-0Club 9 de Octubre
CD Cuenca Jrs2-1Club 9 de Octubre

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club 9 de Octubre 1505 · CD Cuenca Jrs 1432

	Club 9 de Octubre	Draw	CD Cuenca Jrs
Our model	58%	26%	15%
Market	59%	25%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club 9 de Octubre (rating 1505 vs 1432).
Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club 9 de Octubre	CD Cuenca Jrs
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	0.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.8	1.3 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.6	5.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.50

X3.60

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.93

2 (+1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:58 +6’	1.50	3.60	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club 9 de Octubre 0–3–1 CD Cuenca Jrs

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/08/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	CD Cuenca Jrs	1-1 HT 1-0	Club 9 de Octubre
30/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Club 9 de Octubre	3-3 HT 1-2	CD Cuenca Jrs
27/03/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	CD Cuenca Jrs	0-0 HT 0-0	Club 9 de Octubre
22/10/25 Ecuador Cup	CD Cuenca Jrs	2-1 HT 2-0	Club 9 de Octubre

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Promotion Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico FC Guayaquil	31	14	14	3	39	21	56
2	Vinotinto Ecuador	31	14	9	8	39	23	51
3	Independiente Juniors	31	13	11	7	36	26	50
4	Club 9 de Octubre	31	12	13	6	35	24	49
5	CD Cuenca Jrs	31	10	10	11	25	36	40
6	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	31	8	13	10	32	37	37

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club 9 de Octubre	CD Cuenca Jrs
San Antonio FC Cotacachi	3-3 D	0-2 L
Vinotinto Ecuador	1-0 W	1-1 D
Independiente Juniors	0-1 L	0-2 L
Atletico FC Guayaquil	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Club 9 de Octubre (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club 9 de Octubre

DDDWLWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/10	San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-1	3-3	1	7	D
17/10	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
08/10	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
03/10	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-1	13	6	L
26/09	San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	2-0	3-0	9	4	W
17/09	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
12/09	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-1	3-1	5	6	W
04/09	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	2-2	9	13	D
28/08	CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	1-1	5	9	D
20/08	San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	1	6	D

CD Cuenca Jrs

LDLLWLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/10	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	2-2	3	9	D
16/10	San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-2	0-2	1	3	L
07/10	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
02/10	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-2	0	5	L
24/09	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-2	0-2	3	3	L
16/09	San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
11/09	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-2	0-2	3	7	L
04/09	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
28/08	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-1	1	9	D
20/08	Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-3	1	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club 9 de Octubre vs CD Cuenca Jrs?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club 9 de Octubre win (59%). Probabilities: Club 9 de Octubre 59%, draw 25%, CD Cuenca Jrs 16%.

How many goals are expected in Club 9 de Octubre vs CD Cuenca Jrs?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Club 9 de Octubre 1.69 · CD Cuenca Jrs 0.76), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Club 9 de Octubre vs CD Cuenca Jrs?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.