Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 28/10, 20:00

Prediction: Independiente Juniors vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi

Team pages: Independiente Juniors · San Antonio FC Cotacachi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.48Total

Independiente Juniors1.81

San Antonio FC Cotacachi0.67

1X2

64% 23% 12%

Independiente Juniors Draw San Antonio FC Cotacachi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Independiente Juniors 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDWLDLWWLL

San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DDLLLLDLWD

Head-to-head

Independiente Juniors 2–4–0 San Antonio FC Cotacachi (6 last)

San Antonio FC Cotacachi0-0Independiente Juniors
San Antonio FC Cotacachi0-0Independiente Juniors
Independiente Juniors0-0San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Independiente Juniors6-2San Antonio FC Cotacachi
San Antonio FC Cotacachi1-4Independiente Juniors
Independiente Juniors0-0San Antonio FC Cotacachi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Independiente Juniors 1499 · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1442

	Independiente Juniors	Draw	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Our model	64%	24%	12%
Market	64%	23%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Independiente Juniors (rating 1499 vs 1442).
H2H favours Independiente Juniors: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Independiente Juniors	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.1	0.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.2	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.7	0.6 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.4	4.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.38

X3.90

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.38	Bet365 1.38
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
01:43 +20’	1.38	3.90	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Juniors 2–4–0 San Antonio FC Cotacachi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/08/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	0-0 HT 0-0	Independiente Juniors
05/06/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	0-0 HT 0-0	Independiente Juniors
01/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Independiente Juniors	0-0 HT 0-0	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
29/10/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Independiente Juniors	6-2 HT 1-1	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
27/08/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	1-4 HT 0-1	Independiente Juniors
17/08/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Independiente Juniors	0-0 HT 0-0	San Antonio FC Cotacachi

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Promotion Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico FC Guayaquil	31	14	14	3	39	21	56
2	Vinotinto Ecuador	31	14	9	8	39	23	51
3	Independiente Juniors	31	13	11	7	36	26	50
4	Club 9 de Octubre	31	12	13	6	35	24	49
5	CD Cuenca Jrs	31	10	10	11	25	36	40
6	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	31	8	13	10	32	37	37

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Independiente Juniors	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Vinotinto Ecuador	0-2 L	0-0 D
Atletico FC Guayaquil	0-1 L	1-2 L
Club 9 de Octubre	1-0 W	3-3 D
CD Cuenca Jrs	2-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Independiente Juniors

DDWLDLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/10	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-2	3	9	L
15/10	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
08/10	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
02/10	CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
24/09	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-1	2-3	4	8	L
17/09	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	1-1	3	8	D
12/09	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-1	1-3	1	6	L
04/09	CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
27/08	San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
20/08	El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-1	6	4	D

San Antonio FC Cotacachi

DDLLLLDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/10	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-1	3-3	1	7	D
16/10	CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	2-0	2-0	1	3	W
08/10	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-2	0	4	L
02/10	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
26/09	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
16/09	CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
10/09	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
03/09	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	2-4	2	6	L
27/08	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
20/08	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	2	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Independiente Juniors vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente Juniors win (64%). Probabilities: Independiente Juniors 64%, draw 23%, San Antonio FC Cotacachi 12%.

How many goals are expected in Independiente Juniors vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Independiente Juniors 1.81 · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 0.67), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Independiente Juniors vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.