Football · Colombia Primera A · 08/11, 02:15
Prediction: America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali
Team pages: America de Cali · Deportivo Cali
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.93Total
America de Cali1.19
Deportivo Cali0.74
1X2
America de Cali
Draw
Deportivo Cali
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
America de Cali
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Cali
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
America de Cali
2–2–2
Deportivo Cali
(6 last)
- Deportivo Cali1-0America de Cali
- Deportivo Cali0-2America de Cali
- America de Cali0-0Deportivo Cali
- America de Cali2-0Deportivo Cali
- Deportivo Cali1-1America de Cali
- America de Cali0-1Deportivo Cali
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · America de Cali 1546 · Deportivo Cali 1590
| America de Cali | Draw | Deportivo Cali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 33% | 22% |
| Market | 47% | 29% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Cali (rating 1546 vs 1590).
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| America de Cali | Deportivo Cali | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.7 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.6 | 2 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.7 | 4.2 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · America de Cali 2–2–2 Deportivo Cali
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Cali | 1-0 HT 0-0 | America de Cali |
| 19/10/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Cali | 0-2 HT 0-1 | America de Cali |
| 07/09/25 Colombia Primera A | America de Cali | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cali |
| 28/04/25 Colombia Primera A | America de Cali | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cali |
| 25/03/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Cali | 1-1 HT 0-1 | America de Cali |
| 03/11/24 Colombia Primera A | America de Cali | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cali |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 36 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 31 | 12 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 10 | 33 |
| 4 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 29 |
| 6 | Independiente Santa Fe | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 28 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 27 |
| 8 | Aguilas Doradas | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 25 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | Cucuta Deportivo | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 24 | 24 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 23 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 25 | 20 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 23 | 20 |
| 14 | Boyaca Chico | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 19 |
| 15 | Alianza | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 18 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 17 |
| 17 | Junior | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 27 | 16 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 24 | 15 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza CEIF | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 28 | 12 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | America de Cali | Deportivo Cali |
|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Cucuta Deportivo | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Llaneros | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Aguilas Doradas | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Alianza | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Cali (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
America de Cali
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/10 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 25/10 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/10 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 12/10 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 05/10 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 24/09 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 21/09 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 15/09 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 03/09 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Deportivo Cali
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 22/10 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/10 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 03/10 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 28/09 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/09 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali?
According to our model, the most likely result is a America de Cali win (46%). Probabilities: America de Cali 46%, draw 31%, Deportivo Cali 23%.
How many goals are expected in America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali?
The model expects 1.93 goals (America de Cali 1.19 · Deportivo Cali 0.74), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.