Prediction: Chattanooga FC vs CT United
Team pages: Chattanooga FC · CT United
- Chattanooga FC4-2CT United
| Chattanooga FC | Draw | CT United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 22% | 32% |
| Market | 45% | 24% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chattanooga FC (rating 1594 vs 1528).
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chattanooga FC | CT United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1 | 2.5 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.6 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chattanooga FC 1–0–0 CT United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chattanooga FC | 4-2 HT 3-1 | CT United |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 67 | 39 | 58 |
| 2 | Chattanooga FC | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 39 | 56 |
| 3 | Atlanta United II | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 62 | 46 | 48 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 43 | 48 |
| 5 | New England Revolution II | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 48 |
| 6 | New York City FC II | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 50 | 44 | 47 |
| 7 | CT United | 28 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 59 | 52 | 46 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls II | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 48 | 46 |
| 9 | Huntsville City | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 44 |
| 10 | Orlando City II | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 55 | 56 | 44 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 37 | 40 | 43 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 48 | 56 | 39 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire II | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 48 | 39 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 53 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 28 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 32 | 62 | 20 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 30 | 74 | 15 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chattanooga FC | CT United |
|---|---|---|
| New York City FC II | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Atlanta United II | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Crown Legacy | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Inter Miami CF II | 1-0 W | 7-2 W |
| Philadelphia Union II | 4-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Chattanooga FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chattanooga FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/09 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 5-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 24/08 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
CT United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 7-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 08/09 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
4-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 12 | W |
| 20/08 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 17/08 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chattanooga FC vs CT United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chattanooga FC win (45%). Probabilities: Chattanooga FC 45%, draw 23%, CT United 32%.
How many goals are expected in Chattanooga FC vs CT United?
The model expects 3.84 goals (Chattanooga FC 2.09 · CT United 1.75), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Chattanooga FC vs CT United?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.