Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 19/10, 02:30
Prediction: Austin FC II vs The Town
Team pages: Austin FC II · The Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Austin FC II1.53
The Town1.07
1X2
Austin FC II
Draw
The Town
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Austin FC II
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
The Town
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Austin FC II
3–2–1
The Town
(6 last)
- Austin FC II1-0The Town
- The Town1-1Austin FC II
- The Town1-2Austin FC II
- Austin FC II3-4The Town
- The Town0-0Austin FC II
- The Town0-2Austin FC II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Austin FC II 1565 · The Town 1491
| Austin FC II | Draw | The Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 28% | 25% |
| Market | 49% | 24% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Austin FC II (rating 1565 vs 1491).
- H2H favours Austin FC II: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Austin FC II | The Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.5 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.3 | 3.3 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Austin FC II 3–2–1 The Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | The Town |
| 03/08/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Austin FC II |
| 05/10/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Austin FC II |
| 06/10/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 3-4 HT 3-2 | The Town |
| 21/04/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Austin FC II |
| 13/08/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Austin FC II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 54 | 21 | 65 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 37 | 29 | 57 |
| 3 | Ventura County FC | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 36 | 53 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo II | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 33 | 52 |
| 5 | Minnesota United FC II | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 39 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 50 | 48 | 45 |
| 7 | St Louis City II | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 42 | 40 | 44 |
| 8 | The Town | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 36 | 42 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 44 | 41 |
| 10 | North Texas SC | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 40 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 55 | 33 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 62 | 27 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 75 | 23 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 52 | 21 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Austin FC II | The Town |
|---|---|---|
| St Louis City II | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Houston Dynamo II | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | 4-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Austin FC II (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Austin FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 24/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 16/08 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 03/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 27/07 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
The Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 14/09 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 10/09 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/08 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/08 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Austin FC II vs The Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Austin FC II win (48%). Probabilities: Austin FC II 48%, draw 26%, The Town 26%.
How many goals are expected in Austin FC II vs The Town?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Austin FC II 1.53 · The Town 1.07), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Austin FC II vs The Town?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.