Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 26/10, 01:30
Prediction: Austin FC II vs Los Angeles FC II
Team pages: Austin FC II · Los Angeles FC II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Austin FC II1.93
Los Angeles FC II1.07
1X2
Austin FC II
Draw
Los Angeles FC II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 65%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Austin FC II
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Los Angeles FC II
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Austin FC II
2–2–2
Los Angeles FC II
(6 last)
- Austin FC II2-0Los Angeles FC II
- Los Angeles FC II1-0Austin FC II
- Austin FC II4-1Los Angeles FC II
- Austin FC II1-2Los Angeles FC II
- Austin FC II1-1Los Angeles FC II
- Los Angeles FC II0-0Austin FC II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Austin FC II 1581 · Los Angeles FC II 1505
| Austin FC II | Draw | Los Angeles FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| Market | 57% | 22% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Austin FC II (rating 1581 vs 1505).
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Austin FC II | Los Angeles FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.5 | 2.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.8 | 2.5 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Austin FC II 2–2–2 Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 30/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Austin FC II |
| 05/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 25/05/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 02/09/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 07/08/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Austin FC II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 54 | 21 | 65 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 37 | 29 | 57 |
| 3 | Ventura County FC | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 36 | 53 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo II | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 33 | 52 |
| 5 | Minnesota United FC II | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 39 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 50 | 48 | 45 |
| 7 | St Louis City II | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 42 | 40 | 44 |
| 8 | The Town | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 36 | 42 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 44 | 41 |
| 10 | North Texas SC | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 40 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 55 | 33 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 62 | 27 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 75 | 23 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 52 | 21 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Austin FC II | Los Angeles FC II |
|---|---|---|
| The Town | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Colorado Rapids II | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Houston Dynamo II | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Portland Timbers II | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | 4-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Sporting Kansas City II | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Austin FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 20/09 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 24/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 16/08 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 03/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 20/09 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 14/09 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 31/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/08 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 17/08 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Austin FC II vs Los Angeles FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Austin FC II win (57%). Probabilities: Austin FC II 57%, draw 23%, Los Angeles FC II 20%.
How many goals are expected in Austin FC II vs Los Angeles FC II?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Austin FC II 1.93 · Los Angeles FC II 1.07), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Austin FC II vs Los Angeles FC II?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.