Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 31/10, 03:00
Prediction: Ventura County FC vs Los Angeles FC II
Team pages: Ventura County FC · Los Angeles FC II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.7Total
Ventura County FC2.21
Los Angeles FC II1.49
1X2
Ventura County FC
Draw
Los Angeles FC II
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Ventura County FC
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Los Angeles FC II
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ventura County FC
2–2–2
Los Angeles FC II
(6 last)
- Los Angeles FC II1-1Ventura County FC
- Ventura County FC2-0Los Angeles FC II
- Los Angeles FC II3-2Ventura County FC
- Ventura County FC3-3Los Angeles FC II
- Ventura County FC2-1Los Angeles FC II
- Los Angeles FC II3-1Ventura County FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ventura County FC 1570 · Los Angeles FC II 1520
| Ventura County FC | Draw | Los Angeles FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 22% | 25% |
| Market | 53% | 22% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ventura County FC (rating 1570 vs 1520).
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ventura County FC | Los Angeles FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.1 | 2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.4 | 2.6 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ventura County FC 2–2–2 Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Ventura County FC |
| 19/07/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 17/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Ventura County FC |
| 21/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 10/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 15/03/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Ventura County FC |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 54 | 21 | 65 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 37 | 29 | 57 |
| 3 | Ventura County FC | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 36 | 53 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo II | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 33 | 52 |
| 5 | Minnesota United FC II | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 39 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 50 | 48 | 45 |
| 7 | St Louis City II | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 42 | 40 | 44 |
| 8 | The Town | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 36 | 42 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 44 | 41 |
| 10 | North Texas SC | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 40 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 55 | 33 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 62 | 27 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 75 | 23 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 52 | 21 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ventura County FC | Los Angeles FC II |
|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers II | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Minnesota United FC II | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Tacoma Defiance | 3-0 W | 4-3 W |
| The Town | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Houston Dynamo II | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Ventura County FC (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ventura County FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 17/10 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/09 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/09 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 29/08 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 24/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 6-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 19/10 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 20/09 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 14/09 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 31/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/08 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 17/08 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ventura County FC vs Los Angeles FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ventura County FC win (53%). Probabilities: Ventura County FC 53%, draw 22%, Los Angeles FC II 25%.
How many goals are expected in Ventura County FC vs Los Angeles FC II?
The model expects 3.7 goals (Ventura County FC 2.21 · Los Angeles FC II 1.49), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ventura County FC vs Los Angeles FC II?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.