Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 26/10, 00:00

Prediction: Crown Legacy vs Columbus Crew II

Team pages: Crown Legacy · Columbus Crew II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

Crown Legacy1.99

Columbus Crew II1.39

1X2

51% 23% 26%

Crown Legacy Draw Columbus Crew II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Crown Legacy 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLWLWDWW

Columbus Crew II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLLDDW

Head-to-head

Crown Legacy 1–2–2 Columbus Crew II (5 last)

Columbus Crew II1-1Crown Legacy
Crown Legacy3-3Columbus Crew II
Crown Legacy0-1Columbus Crew II
Columbus Crew II2-1Crown Legacy
Crown Legacy1-0Columbus Crew II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Crown Legacy 1552 · Columbus Crew II 1480

	Crown Legacy	Draw	Columbus Crew II
Our model	51%	24%	26%
Market	51%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Crown Legacy (rating 1552 vs 1480).
H2H favours Columbus Crew II: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Crown Legacy	Columbus Crew II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.3	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.4	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.3	1.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	3.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.75

X4.00

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 07:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.75▲	Pinn 1.77
X	4.10 → 4.00▼	Bet365 4.00
2	3.80 → 3.40▼	Pinn 3.63 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:22 +6’	1.65	4.10	3.80
07:12 +4’	1.75▲	4.00▼	3.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:54 +154’	1.77	3.97	3.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Crown Legacy 1–2–2 Columbus Crew II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League	Columbus Crew II	1-1 HT 1-0	Crown Legacy
24/03/24 USA MLS Next Pro League	Crown Legacy	3-3 HT 2-2	Columbus Crew II
08/10/23 USA MLS Next Pro League	Crown Legacy	0-1 HT 0-0	Columbus Crew II
11/06/23 USA MLS Next Pro League	Columbus Crew II	2-1 HT 1-1	Crown Legacy
23/04/23 USA MLS Next Pro League	Crown Legacy	1-0 HT 1-0	Columbus Crew II

Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	28	15	8	5	67	39	58
2	Chattanooga FC	28	15	7	6	56	39	56
3	Atlanta United II	28	14	5	9	62	46	48
4	Columbus Crew II	28	12	7	9	49	43	48
5	New England Revolution II	28	12	8	8	47	42	48
6	New York City FC II	28	13	5	10	50	44	47
7	CT United	28	14	2	12	59	52	46
8	New York Red Bulls II	28	13	5	10	58	48	46
9	Huntsville City	28	12	6	10	49	47	44
10	Orlando City II	28	11	7	10	55	56	44
11	Philadelphia Union II	28	12	5	11	37	40	43
12	Toronto FC II	28	11	4	13	48	56	39
13	Chicago Fire II	28	10	6	12	50	48	39
14	Carolina Core FC	28	5	11	12	40	53	31
15	FC Cincinnati II	28	5	3	20	32	62	20
16	Inter Miami CF II	28	3	5	20	30	74	15

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Crown Legacy	Columbus Crew II
New York Red Bulls II	2-1 W	1-2 L
Carolina Core FC	2-2 D	1-1 D
Chicago Fire II	4-0 W	4-0 W
CT United	0-2 L	1-2 L
Huntsville City	2-2 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Crown Legacy (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Crown Legacy

WWDLWLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
20/09	FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	2-1	7	3	W
13/09	Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League	2-0	2-2	12	4	D
04/09	Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League	2-0	4-0	1	7	W
31/08	Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	2-3	7	2	L
24/08	Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League	1-0	3-1	1	7	W
20/08	CT United USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
13/08	Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League	2-1	2-2	5	8	D
08/08	Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
02/08	Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	3-1	6	6	W

Columbus Crew II

LLWLWLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League	2-1	2-1	0	3	W
20/09	Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
14/09	New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	1-1	4	7	D
08/09	Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-3	2-4	4	3	L
05/09	Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	0-1	11	3	L
30/08	Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-0	4-0	2	2	W
24/08	Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
16/08	New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	4-2	4	2	W
09/08	New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-2	1-2	7	7	L
27/07	CT United USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	1-2	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Crown Legacy vs Columbus Crew II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Crown Legacy win (51%). Probabilities: Crown Legacy 51%, draw 23%, Columbus Crew II 26%.

How many goals are expected in Crown Legacy vs Columbus Crew II?

The model expects 3.38 goals (Crown Legacy 1.99 · Columbus Crew II 1.39), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Crown Legacy vs Columbus Crew II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.