Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 01/11, 23:00
Prediction: Chattanooga FC vs Columbus Crew II
Team pages: Chattanooga FC · Columbus Crew II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.19Total
Chattanooga FC1.91
Columbus Crew II1.28
1X2
Chattanooga FC
Draw
Columbus Crew II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Chattanooga FC
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Columbus Crew II
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chattanooga FC
2–1
Columbus Crew II
(3 last)
- Chattanooga FC2-0Columbus Crew II
- Columbus Crew II3-0Chattanooga FC
- Chattanooga FC2-1Columbus Crew II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chattanooga FC 1593 · Columbus Crew II 1497
| Chattanooga FC | Draw | Columbus Crew II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| Market | 51% | 24% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chattanooga FC (rating 1593 vs 1497).
- H2H favours Chattanooga FC: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chattanooga FC | Columbus Crew II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.1 | 1.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.5 | 1.7 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chattanooga FC 2–0–1 Columbus Crew II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chattanooga FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Columbus Crew II |
| 27/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Columbus Crew II | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Chattanooga FC |
| 08/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chattanooga FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Columbus Crew II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 67 | 39 | 58 |
| 2 | Chattanooga FC | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 39 | 56 |
| 3 | Atlanta United II | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 62 | 46 | 48 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 43 | 48 |
| 5 | New England Revolution II | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 48 |
| 6 | New York City FC II | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 50 | 44 | 47 |
| 7 | CT United | 28 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 59 | 52 | 46 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls II | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 48 | 46 |
| 9 | Huntsville City | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 44 |
| 10 | Orlando City II | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 55 | 56 | 44 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 37 | 40 | 43 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 48 | 56 | 39 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire II | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 48 | 39 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 53 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 28 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 32 | 62 | 20 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 30 | 74 | 15 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chattanooga FC | Columbus Crew II |
|---|---|---|
| New York City FC II | 3-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Chicago Fire II | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Huntsville City | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Carolina Core FC | 5-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Crown Legacy | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Toronto FC II | 2-2 D | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Chattanooga FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chattanooga FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/09 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 5-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 24/08 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Columbus Crew II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 14/09 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 08/09 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/08 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chattanooga FC vs Columbus Crew II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chattanooga FC win (51%). Probabilities: Chattanooga FC 51%, draw 24%, Columbus Crew II 25%.
How many goals are expected in Chattanooga FC vs Columbus Crew II?
The model expects 3.19 goals (Chattanooga FC 1.91 · Columbus Crew II 1.28), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Chattanooga FC vs Columbus Crew II?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.