Football · Estonia Meistriliiga · 21/10, 17:00

Prediction: Harju JK Laagri vs FC Flora Tallinn

Team pages: Harju JK Laagri · FC Flora Tallinn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Harju JK Laagri1.85

FC Flora Tallinn1.35

1X2

48% 25% 27%

Harju JK Laagri Draw FC Flora Tallinn

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Harju JK Laagri 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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FC Flora Tallinn 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Harju JK Laagri 1–5 FC Flora Tallinn (6 last)

FC Flora Tallinn1-0Harju JK Laagri
FC Flora Tallinn5-0Harju JK Laagri
Harju JK Laagri2-0FC Flora Tallinn
Harju JK Laagri1-2FC Flora Tallinn
FC Flora Tallinn3-1Harju JK Laagri
Harju JK Laagri0-3FC Flora Tallinn

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Flora Tallinn: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Harju JK Laagri	FC Flora Tallinn
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.9	1.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5	2.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0	4.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.97

Under 3.251.83

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:03

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.18 → 3.18	Pinn 3.18
X	4.35 → 4.35	Pinn 4.35
2	1.87 → 1.87	Pinn 1.87

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
05:00 +302’	3.18	4.35	1.87

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Harju JK Laagri 1–0–5 FC Flora Tallinn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Estonia Meistriliiga	FC Flora Tallinn	1-0 HT 0-0	Harju JK Laagri
30/04/26 Estonia Meistriliiga	FC Flora Tallinn	5-0 HT 4-0	Harju JK Laagri
22/03/26 Estonia Meistriliiga	Harju JK Laagri	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Flora Tallinn
04/10/25 Estonia Meistriliiga	Harju JK Laagri	1-2 HT 0-1	FC Flora Tallinn
16/08/25 Estonia Meistriliiga	FC Flora Tallinn	3-1 HT 2-0	Harju JK Laagri
09/05/25 Estonia Meistriliiga	Harju JK Laagri	0-3 HT 0-1	FC Flora Tallinn

Standings · Estonia Meistriliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	32	25	6	1	87	22	81
2	FC Flora Tallinn	32	19	1	12	62	44	58
3	Paide Linnameeskond	32	17	6	9	52	39	57
4	JK Nomme Kalju	32	15	6	11	54	33	51
5	JK Tammeka Tartu	32	15	2	15	42	51	47
6	Harju JK Laagri	32	14	2	16	45	47	44
7	Parnu JK Vaprus	32	10	6	16	43	63	36
8	FC Kuressaare	32	10	5	17	34	51	35
9	JK Nomme United	32	10	1	21	50	74	31
10	JK Trans Narva	32	5	5	22	25	70	20

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Harju JK Laagri	FC Flora Tallinn
Parnu JK Vaprus	2-0 W	3-2 W
JK Nomme United	2-0 W	3-2 W
JK Nomme Kalju	1-0 W	2-1 W
FC Kuressaare	0-0 D	0-2 L
Paide Linnameeskond	2-1 W	1-2 L
JK Tammeka Tartu	0-2 L	2-0 W
FC Levadia Tallinn	1-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Harju JK Laagri (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Harju JK Laagri

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga	1-0	2-0	7	7	W
13/10	JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
10/10	JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
18/09	FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
13/09	Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga	1-0	2-1	3	11	W
09/09	Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga	0-2	2-3	7	4	L
06/09	JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga	0-2	0-2	7	4	L
29/08	JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
22/08	JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
16/08	FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga	1-1	1-2	3	1	L

FC Flora Tallinn

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga	2-0	2-0	2	5	W
15/10	FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga	1-1	1-3	2	4	L
11/10	FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga	0-2	0-2	3	6	L
20/09	Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga	0-0	3-2	7	0	W
12/09	JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga	0-1	3-2	9	1	W
08/09	JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga	2-2	2-2	4	6	D
05/09	JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga	2-1	2-1	2	1	W
02/09	JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga	2-1	3-2	3	6	W
30/08	Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga	0-0	1-2	4	4	L
26/08	JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga	1-1	1-3	8	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Harju JK Laagri vs FC Flora Tallinn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Harju JK Laagri win (48%). Probabilities: Harju JK Laagri 48%, draw 25%, FC Flora Tallinn 27%.

How many goals are expected in Harju JK Laagri vs FC Flora Tallinn?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Harju JK Laagri 1.85 · FC Flora Tallinn 1.35), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Harju JK Laagri vs FC Flora Tallinn?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.