Football · Estonia Meistriliiga · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: JK Nomme United vs FC Levadia Tallinn

Team pages: JK Nomme United · FC Levadia Tallinn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.65Total

JK Nomme United1.2

FC Levadia Tallinn2.45

1X2

17% 18% 65%

JK Nomme United Draw FC Levadia Tallinn

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

JK Nomme United 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLWWW

FC Levadia Tallinn 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWWWWW

Head-to-head

JK Nomme United 1–2–3 FC Levadia Tallinn (6 last)

FC Levadia Tallinn5-0JK Nomme United
JK Nomme United1-2FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn1-1JK Nomme United
FC Levadia Tallinn2-4JK Nomme United
FC Levadia Tallinn1-1JK Nomme United
JK Nomme United0-1FC Levadia Tallinn

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JK Nomme United 1480 · FC Levadia Tallinn 1647

	JK Nomme United	Draw	FC Levadia Tallinn
Our model	16%	20%	64%
Market	18%	16%	66%

Estimated total (ours) 3.65 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Levadia Tallinn (rating 1480 vs 1647).
H2H favours FC Levadia Tallinn: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JK Nomme United	FC Levadia Tallinn
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.8	2.7 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	1.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.7	2.7 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

15.00

X5.75

21.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.88

2 (-1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 41.90

Under 41.90

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 8 moves · last 09:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	9.00 → 5.00▼	Pinn 5.20
X	6.00 → 5.75▼	Pinn 6.14 ★
2	1.22 → 1.38▲	Pinn 1.40

See the full journey (8)

Bet365 margin 9.9% Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:07 +2’	9.00	6.00	1.22
12:57 +16’	5.25▼	6.00	1.36▲
23:33 +5’	5.00▼	5.75▼	1.38▲
00:01 +13’	4.50▼	5.50▼	1.44▲
17:06 +16’	4.75▲	5.50	1.40▼
05:53 +2’	5.00▲	5.75▲	1.36▼
07:52 +17’	4.75▼	5.75	1.40▲
09:32 +17’	5.00▲	5.75	1.38▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:01 +12’	5.81	5.76	1.38
16:14 +4’	5.22▼	5.44▼	1.44▲
20:38 +3’	5.43▲	5.55▲	1.41▼
23:01 +2’	4.11▼	5.67▲	1.53▲
23:12 +26’	4.36▲	5.79▲	1.50▼
01:00 +17’	4.98▲	6.08▲	1.42▼
12:29 +56’	4.99▲	5.89▼	1.43▲
21:18 +11’	5.07▲	5.93▲	1.42▼
09:02 +46’	5.20▲	6.14▲	1.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Nomme United 1–2–3 FC Levadia Tallinn

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/08/26 Estonia Meistriliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn	5-0 HT 3-0	JK Nomme United
17/06/26 Estonia Meistriliiga	JK Nomme United	1-2 HT 0-1	FC Levadia Tallinn
04/04/26 Estonia Meistriliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn	1-1 HT 0-0	JK Nomme United
18/01/26 Europe Friendlies	FC Levadia Tallinn	2-4 HT 2-0	JK Nomme United
22/10/24 Estonia Meistriliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn	1-1 HT 0-0	JK Nomme United
04/08/24 Estonia Meistriliiga	JK Nomme United	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Levadia Tallinn

Standings · Estonia Meistriliiga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	34	27	6	1	91	24	87
2	Paide Linnameeskond	35	19	6	10	54	41	63
3	FC Flora Tallinn	34	19	1	14	64	49	58
4	JK Nomme Kalju	34	17	6	11	58	34	57
5	JK Tammeka Tartu	35	17	2	16	50	55	53
6	Harju JK Laagri	35	15	2	18	50	52	47
7	JK Nomme United	34	12	1	21	55	76	37
8	Parnu JK Vaprus	35	10	7	18	46	69	37
9	FC Kuressaare	34	10	6	18	35	53	36
10	JK Trans Narva	34	5	5	24	26	76	20

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JK Nomme United	FC Levadia Tallinn
JK Trans Narva	1-0 W	1-1 D
Parnu JK Vaprus	4-2 W	4-0 W
Harju JK Laagri	0-2 L	2-1 W
JK Tammeka Tartu	0-4 L	2-1 W
Paide Linnameeskond	1-3 L	1-0 W
FC Flora Tallinn	2-3 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Levadia Tallinn (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JK Nomme United

LLWLLLLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
23/10	Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga	1-1	4-2	11	6	W
17/10	JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga	3-0	3-0	7	6	W
13/10	Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
10/10	JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga	0-2	0-4	5	5	L
19/09	Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga	0-1	1-3	3	2	L
12/09	FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga	1-0	2-3	3	1	L
08/09	JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga	2-0	2-1	5	7	W
05/09	Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
29/08	Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga	0-1	1-2	2	3	L

FC Levadia Tallinn

WWWWDWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
24/10	Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
18/10	FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga	1-0	2-0	4	0	W
15/10	FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga	1-1	3-1	2	4	W
11/10	Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
20/09	JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga	1-0	1-1	11	4	D
17/09	JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga	3-0	6-0	9	4	W
12/09	Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga	3-0	4-0	8	4	W
09/09	FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga	2-0	4-0	3	2	W
06/09	Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga	0-0	2-0	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JK Nomme United vs FC Levadia Tallinn?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Levadia Tallinn win (65%). Probabilities: JK Nomme United 17%, draw 18%, FC Levadia Tallinn 65%.

How many goals are expected in JK Nomme United vs FC Levadia Tallinn?

The model expects 3.65 goals (JK Nomme United 1.2 · FC Levadia Tallinn 2.45), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in JK Nomme United vs FC Levadia Tallinn?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.