Football · Iraq Stars League · 24/10, 21:00

Prediction: Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan

Team pages: Ghaz Al Shamal · Naft Maysan

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.81Total
Ghaz Al Shamal0.93
Naft Maysan0.88
1X2
35% 33% 32%
Ghaz Al Shamal Draw Naft Maysan
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Ghaz Al Shamal 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
LDDWLDDDLW
Naft Maysan 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
DDLDLDWLDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ghaz Al Shamal 1494 · Naft Maysan 1460
Ghaz Al ShamalDrawNaft Maysan
Our model34%35%31%
Market36%31%33%
Estimated total (ours) 1.81 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ghaz Al ShamalNaft Maysan
Goals for / against (FT)0.5 / 0.70.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.30.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.92.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.24.5 / 0.3

Standings · Iraq Stars League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Al Karma 10730 17724
2 Al Naft SC 11641 13522
3 Al Zawra'a 10532 15718
4 Newroz SC 10532 13518
5 Erbil SC 11533 14718
6 Al Shorta SC 10451 10517
7 Al Talaba 11452 121117
8 Al Jolan SC 10352 10914
9 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 11263 141312
9 Duhok 10262 141312
11 Diyala FC 10334 151612
12 Al Minaa 10334 101212
13 Zakho 11335 91512
14 Ghaz Al Shamal 10253 5711
15 Mosul FC 10325 101511
16 Al Gharraf 11245 61310
17 Al Karkh 10226 13188
18 Al Kahrabaa 10154 6118
19 Naft Maysan 10154 7148
20 Karbalaa FC 10136 7176

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGhaz Al ShamalNaft Maysan
Al Zawra'a 1-0 W 0-4 L
Al Minaa 0-2 L 1-1 D
Newroz SC 0-0 D 0-2 L
Al Jolan SC 0-1 L 0-0 D
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 0 W 3 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ghaz Al Shamal

LDDWLDDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Al Zawra'a
Iraq Stars League
1-0 1-0 76 W
10/10 Al Minaa
Iraq Stars League
0-1 0-2 35 L
19/09 Newroz SC
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-0 12 D
12/09 Al Shorta SC
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-0 03 D
08/09 Duhok
Iraq Stars League
1-1 1-1 43 D
04/09 Al Jolan SC
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-1 43 L
30/08 Al Gharraf
Iraq Stars League
0-0 1-0 –– W
25/08 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Iraq Stars League
1-0 1-1 38 D
20/08 Al Kahrabaa
Iraq Stars League
0-1 1-1 116 D
15/08 Zakho
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-1 23 L

Naft Maysan

DDLDLDWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/10 Diyala FC
Iraq Stars League
0-1 0-2 78 L
08/10 Erbil SC
Iraq Stars League
0-1 1-1 36 D
17/09 Al Karkh
Iraq Stars League
2-3 2-3 82 L
13/09 Al Talaba
Iraq Stars League
0-0 2-0 54 W
09/09 Al Minaa
Iraq Stars League
0-0 1-1 71 D
04/09 Newroz SC
Iraq Stars League
0-1 0-2 63 L
29/08 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Iraq Stars League
0-0 1-1 06 D
25/08 Al Zawra'a
Iraq Stars League
0-3 0-4 64 L
20/08 Al Naft SC
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-0 46 D
14/08 Al Jolan SC
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-0 78 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ghaz Al Shamal win (35%). Probabilities: Ghaz Al Shamal 35%, draw 33%, Naft Maysan 32%.

How many goals are expected in Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan?

The model expects 1.81 goals (Ghaz Al Shamal 0.93 · Naft Maysan 0.88), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.