Prediction: Comerciantes Unidos vs AD Tarma
Team pages: Comerciantes Unidos · AD Tarma
- AD Tarma2-0Comerciantes Unidos
- Comerciantes Unidos0-0AD Tarma
- AD Tarma1-0Comerciantes Unidos
- Comerciantes Unidos0-0AD Tarma
- AD Tarma2-0Comerciantes Unidos
| Comerciantes Unidos | Draw | AD Tarma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 28% | 25% |
| Market | 47% | 28% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours AD Tarma: 3-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Comerciantes Unidos | AD Tarma | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.1 | 2.4 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.7 | 5.5 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Comerciantes Unidos 0–2–3 AD Tarma
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Peru Liga 1 | AD Tarma | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Comerciantes Unidos |
| 23/11/25 Peru Liga 1 | Comerciantes Unidos | 0-0 HT 0-0 | AD Tarma |
| 11/07/25 Peru Liga 1 | AD Tarma | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Comerciantes Unidos |
| 28/10/24 Peru Liga 1 | Comerciantes Unidos | 0-0 HT 0-0 | AD Tarma |
| 19/05/24 Peru Liga 1 | AD Tarma | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Comerciantes Unidos |
Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52 | 23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 52 | 34 | 56 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 54 | 35 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 47 | 33 | 51 |
| 5 | Cusco FC | 31 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 51 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53 | 43 | 50 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 46 | 49 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 47 |
| 9 | CD Los Chankas | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 51 | 46 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 44 | 48 | 44 |
| 11 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 47 | 57 | 41 |
| 12 | Sport Boys | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 37 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 45 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 38 | 34 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33 | 45 | 29 |
| 16 | Deportivo Moquegua | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 46 | 28 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 44 | 60 | 26 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 55 | 13 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Comerciantes Unidos | AD Tarma |
|---|---|---|
| FBC Melgar | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Cienciano | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Juan Pablo II College | 1-1 D | 1-5 L |
| Alianza Atletico | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Sport Huancayo | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| FC Cajamarca | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Atletico Grau | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 1 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Comerciantes Unidos (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Comerciantes Unidos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 25/10 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 18/10 | Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/10 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 18/09 | Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 28/08 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 14/08 | Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
AD Tarma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 23/10 | Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 16/10 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 10/10 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 23/09 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 07/09 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 9 | 10 | L |
| 22/08 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 15/08 | Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 15 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Comerciantes Unidos vs AD Tarma?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Comerciantes Unidos win (47%). Probabilities: Comerciantes Unidos 47%, draw 28%, AD Tarma 25%.
How many goals are expected in Comerciantes Unidos vs AD Tarma?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Comerciantes Unidos 1.5 · AD Tarma 1.05), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Comerciantes Unidos vs AD Tarma?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.